Late-Breaking Blowout CBB 10*
(NCAAB) Penn State vs. Indiana, 03/14/2024 9:00 PM, Score: 59 - 61
Point Spread: 1.00 | -115.00 Indiana (Home)
Result: Win
#742 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Indiana +1 over Penn State, Thursday at 9 PM ET - PSU swept the season series but there is a reason this line opened PSU -2 and now it’s a pick-em most spots. PSU will have to shoot really well from deep to win this game. That’s exactly what they did vs Indiana in their 2 matchups with IU but that may be tough to duplicate tonight. In those 2 wins vs the Hoosiers the Nittany Lions shot over 40% from deep in both games. IU’s 3 point defense has been really solid in Big 10 play ranking 3rd in the conference allowing just 32% so we just don’t see PSU lighting it up from deep. The Hoosiers dominated inside in the 2 games and we expect that again with Penn State ranking dead last in the Big 10 in 2 point FG% defense. Indiana shot over 60% inside the arc in both meetings with PSU and they controlled the boards in those games gathering nearly 35% of their offensive missed shots. The Nits haven’t had any answer for IU’s 2 bigs, Ware & Reneau, who are playing great right now. Those 2 combined for 85 points and 30 boards in their 2 games vs Penn State. IU played those 2 losses without PG Johnson and since he’s been back the Hoosiers have rolled off 4 straight wins including topping both Wisconsin and Michigan State, 2 top 25 teams per KenPom. Take Indiana to win this one tonight.