Run Line Blowout MLB
(MLB) Miami vs. Atlanta, 04/24/2024 7:20 PM, Score: 3 - 4
Point Spread: -1.50 | -125.00 Atlanta (Home)
Result: Loss
#962 ASA PLAY ON Atlanta Braves -1.5 on the Run Line (-125) over Miami Marlins, Wednesday at 7:20 PM ET - Sixto Sanchez is slated to get the start here for the Marlins but he is really just an opener.  That being said, we are not concerned with the starting pitcher here as it is likely that Kyle Tyler could be in line to get significant work behind Sixto in this one. Marlins already have bullpen injury issues and that is why Tyler is being called up even though he struggled in his most recent outing at the AAA level.  Sanchez just now getting back from shoulder injuries in recent years.  Tyler hardly has any big league experience.  The Braves are expected to start Reynaldo Lopez here.  He has been fantastic this season with just 1 earned run allowed on 11 hits while striking out 18 in 18 innings!  There is also a great disparity between these two lineups!  Marlins have a .321 slugging percentage this season while the Braves have a .471 slugging percentage this season!  Atlanta is 16-6 this season and 12 of the 16 wins have been by at least 2 runs!  Marlins are 6-19 this season and 16 of their 19 losses by 2+ runs!  Miami is just 2-10 in evening games this season.  Atlanta has feasted on sub-par competition this season going 11-2 against teams with a sub-.500 record!  Atlanta enters this game on an 8-1 run.  Miami has scored just 1.7 runs per game in their last 6 losses.  Atlanta has scored 6 runs per game in last 8 wins.  6 to 2 sounds about right to us in this one and the Braves have outscored Miami 25 to 8 in the 4 wins in their 4-1 record against the Marlins this season.  That is an average score of 6 to 2 as well.  Another mismatch here and the Marlins have been shutout in each of the first two games in this series as well.  The Marlins just don't have the bats to keep up here.  Big edges in this one and a home blowout is our call.  We think we're getting some nice value in laying -1.5 runs in this one and only having to invest at a relatively low price in the -125 range with the Braves.  Lay it!