This is an 8* TOP TOTAL on the OVER Red Sox/Astros.

Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening.

Boston has seen the total go UNDER in five of six and in three straight. That includes the first two vitories in this series, winning 3-2 and then 2-1 yesterday. The Astros have seen the total go UNDER in three straight as well, which is significant to note in our case, as Houston has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row.

Brayan Bello is 0-3 with an 8.82 ERA for the Red Sox. He'll be under a short leash today obviously. Jose Urquidy is 9-4 with a 3.86 ERA for the Astros.

Urquidy gets the big nod on the bump in this matchup, but there's no way I'm laying the large home juice on this pick. I think Boston will plate a few runs here today though as well.

Considering all of the above information, we feel this total is now TOO low. The play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP