10* OPENING NIGHT SPECIAL **MUST PLAY!**
(NCAAF) Vanderbilt vs. Hawaii, 08/27/2022 10:30 PM, Score: 63 - 10
Point Spread: 7.00 | -120.00 Hawaii (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* OPENING NIGHT SPECIAL on Hawaii.

Timmy Chang is once again the head-coach at Honolulu, and while he doesn't have a lot to work with, I still think that he'll find a way to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to earn the comfortable cover.

Twenty years ago Chang's offense was putting up more than 4,000 yards a year, but he only has six returning starters this season.

But Vanderbilt has been terrible the last feyears, going just 5-28 the past three seasons and dropping 21 straight SEC contests since 2019.

Last year Vandy opened the season with a 20 point loss to FCS East Tennessee State. The Commodores should be slightly better this time around, as they have a bit more experience, but the defense will once again be the weak point.

Last year Vanderbilt allowed 31 or more points in seven of eight SEC games.

Commodores coach Clark Lea has just announced that Mike Wright will be the starting QB thi season. Both Wright and Ken Seals struggled last year, but Wright managed to top 200 yards passing in the final two games, solidifying his spot this season.

The weakness this year for Hawaii is for sure on the defensive side. In fact, the secondary has none of its defensive backs from last season. But fortunately for the Warriors they catch a break here, because Vanderbilt doesn't have much back in the way of receivers this year. They averaged 35 carries per game last year, but only managed 3.5 yards per carry.

Chang sees Cammon Cooper take the ball under center, as he moves over from Washington State. The one thing Cooper does have going for him, is that four of the six returning starters do come on the offensive end.

The Vanderbilt defense and secondary could be in even bigger trouble than Hawaii's as well.

Granted, the Commodores have been a decent bet on the road, covering in eight of their last ten away from friendly confines. But that's almost entirely due to the fact that they face such ridiculous spreads in the SEC while on the road.

Note that Vandy is just 1-3 ATS as a favorite over the past three seasons and it's lost outright on two of those occasions.

Interestingly as well, Hawaii has done extremely well in this spot, covering in six of its last seven games played in the month of August.

Whatever experience that Vanderbilt brings to the table in this one, I'm not buying it. The Commodores have to travel across three time zone and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, I will recommend grabbing as many points as you can with Hawaii to earn a comfortable cover here at home to open up the season.

Good luck, NP