10* Pats/Browns ATS BEATDOWN (27-16 RUN!)
(NFL) New England vs. Cleveland, 10/16/2022 1:00 PM, Score: 38 - 15
Point Spread: -2.50 | -106.00 Cleveland (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ATS BEATDOWN on the Browns.

I don't think you can underestimate how much the home field advantage will prove to be today.

The Pats are coming off a 29-0 home win over the Patriots, but I think they'll take a step back here in this difficult road venue.

The Browns come in desperate here after losing two straight, most recently a tough 30-28 setback to the Chargers. Jacoby Brissett had 230 passing yards, one TD and one INT. Nick Chubb is on fire though and I can't see the Pats slowing him down. Cleveland enters averaging 26.6 PPG.

The Patriots average just 19.6 PPG. Bailey Zappe looked good at home last week, but I think he'll predictably struggle here.

The Browns are also 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games vs. teams with losing road records, while New England is just 1-4-1 ATS in its last six on the road.

Lay the points, the play is CLEVELAND.

Good luck, NP