After winning 18 games in 2012/13 Tennessee St won 5 games each in the 2013/14 and 2014/15 and is now back challenging for for the OVC East Title. They have done so going 7-1 ATS versus conference opponents and have covered 11 of their last 13 games.
They now try to beat EKU for the first time since 2013 and catch the reeling Colonials who are 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS their last 6 games despite ALL of them being 'winnable" as they were a favorite in 5 of them and a small dog in the other. EKU's struggles have occurred despite despite shooting 48.3% in conference play but 6 of those 9 games were at home and now they play on the road for the first time in 5 games while facing the country's #51 and OVC's #1 team in FG%. EKU's other 3 conference road games were vs teams that rank #289, #238 and #304. For a good shooting team to play poorly they are obviously a poor rebounding team (#11 in OVC while Tenn St is #2) and even worse shooting defense (#12 in conf while Tenn St in #4 in shooting offense).
I expect TENN ST to have a big performance here at home.