Last night the Phillies were down 11-0 before their knew it and never recovered. I'll back them on Saturday behind Jake Arrieta. The Phillies usually hit very well in their own park, Brewers have dropped 3 of their last 4 and 6 of their last 8 road games. The Brewers put up 12 last night and this is a team struggling to score runs. I'm looking forward to see how the bats and pitching are playing in Philadelphia. Philadelphia has been put in a place where if they score 3 or more runs they can hold onto the game and cruise for a home win. Problem is, with Milwaukee's main weapon, Lorenzo Cain as their hit producing machine, he struggles with sliders and sinkers - and has had his problems when there is a full count. Cain can rip one any time, but he's poor when looking at those 3-2 at bats, at just .233 and almost 25% of his K's come from this situation. Milwaukee wont win this on the road, in Philly is tough. Brewers are 1-4 in Suters last 5 road starts. Philadelphia wins on Saturday afternoon.