CFB 5*
(NCAAF) Air Force vs. Boise State, 10/16/2021 9:00 PM, Score: 24 - 17
Point Spread: 4.00 | -118.00 Air Force (Away)
Result: Win
Air Force @ Boise State 9:00 PM ET
Game# 159-160
Play On: Air Force +4.0 (5*)

Boise State is coming off last week’s 26-17 upset win at then #10 BYU. That evened the Broncos season record at 3-3. However, Boise State is 0-2 SU&ATS following a win this season and both contests occurred at home. Boise State has allowed 235 yards or more rushing in 3 of its 6 games, and that’s 98th out of 130 FBS teams in that statistical category. That presents an issue for the Broncos defense since they’ll be facing an Air Force team who averages 341.3 yards rushing per game which is best in the country.

Speaking of Air Force, they enter this week with a stellar 5-1 record. Their only loss happened in Week 3 when they fell 49-45 at Utah State. Casting that contest aside, the Falcons allowed 14 points or less and 286 yards or fewer in each of their other 5 games. It also must be noted, Air Force is 2nd in the country when it comes to offensive time of possession at 37:43 per game. The opposing offense can’t score if they’re on the sidelines and that’s been a key contributor to those 5 impressive defensive efforts. Lastly, Air Force will be playing with big time revenge after losing its last 4 encounters with Boise State. I love this spot for the away underdog. Bet Air Force plus the points.