Toronto @ Atlanta 7:40 PM ET
Game# 593-594
Play On: Toronto -110 (5*)

This line makes absolutely no sense to me, and when that occurs, I look for a valid reason to go against what is the perceived obvious be. Atlanta enters today on a 7-game win streak in which they won by an average of 12.0 points per contest. The last 3 of which were played at home. Conversely, Toronto is coming off an impressive win at Miami on Sunday. Despite that victory, the Raptors are 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 following a win in their previous game. Yet, the Hawks are an underdog in this contest. Atlanta will be perceived as a strong play tonight and will garner a majority of public money bet on them, but it’s rarely that easy.

When looking deeper inside the numbers on my NBA 4D handicapping software. I was able to uncover that teams like Toronto in this precise situation have enjoyed a high degree of success. By virtue of their win at Miami on Sunday, Toronto improved their season record to 24-23. The Raptors have been solid defensively this season while allowing just 106.7 points per game.

Any NBA team (Toronto) with a winning record that’s allowing 108 or fewer points per game, versus an opponent that’s coming off 3 or more wins in a row and all of which took place at home, and they possess a win percentage of .400 to .490, resulted in those teams with winning records going 53-19 (73.6%) SU since the onset of the 1996-1997 season. Bet Toronto as a money line wager.