Ross’ Saturday CFB Early 3-0 Sweep
(NCAAF) Louisville vs. Virginia, 10/08/2022 12:00 PM, Score: 34 - 17
Point Spread: 3.00 | -110.00 Virginia (Home)
Result: Loss
Louisville @ Virginia 12:00 PM ET
Game# 315-316
Play On: Virginia +3.0 (5*)

Louisville is coming off a 34-33 loss at Boston College in a game they closed as a 13.5-point favorite. That upset loss dropped their season record to 2-3 (.400). That record includes 0-3 SU&ATS versus fellow ACC teams. Virginia enters this week 2-3 while going 0-3 on the road but they’re 2-0 at home.

Any college football home team (Virginia) with a win percentage of .363 or better, versus an opponent coming off a conference upset loss as a favorite of -10.0 to -17.0, and that road team has a losing record, resulted in those home teams 23-2 SU (92%) since 2007. The SU betting angle takes on added significance since it backs the hone underdog Virginia Cavaliers.

Give me Virginia plus the points.