Ross’ Saturday 10* CFB Game of the Week
(NCAAF) Wake Forest vs. Louisville, 10/29/2022 3:30 PM, Score: 21 - 48
Point Spread: 3.00 | 102.00 Louisville (Home)
Result: Win
Louisville @ Wake Forest 3:30 PM ET
Game# 137-138
Play On: Louisville +3.0 (10*)

Wake Forest is coming off a 48-15 conference win at home over Boston College which improved their season record to 6-1.
Louisville is coming off conference wins in each of their last 2 games and both came by double-digit margins. That improved their season record to 4-3. The Cardinals are showing positive signs regarding finishing this season strong. During their previous 4 games, Louisville is at an excellent +8 turnover margin and forced 13 turnovers by opponents. The Cardinals are just 15-13 SU in their last 21 at home, but that fits perfectly into the betting angle displayed below.

Since 2018, college football home teams (Louisville) with a winning record that are +10.0 to -10.0 and are coming off back-to-back conference wins in which they allowed 33 points or fewer on each occasion, and they’ve won 23 or less of its previous 28 at home, versus an opponent (Wake Forest) with at least 1 loss on the season and coming off a conference win by 21 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 14-0 SU&ATS since 2018. The average victory margin in those 14 contests came by 17.1 points per game.

Give me Louisville plus the points.