PREMIUM
Thursday NBA Wise Guy $$$
(NBA) Denver vs. Oklahoma City,
11/03/2022 8:00 PM, Score: 122 - 110
Point Spread: -6.50 | -105.00 Denver (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -6.50 | -105.00 Denver (Away)
Result: Win
Nuggets @ Thunder 8:10 PM ET
Game# 525-526
Play On: Denver -6.5 (5*)
This is one of those lines that won’t make sense to many NBA bettors. After all, Oklahoma City has gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games with an average victory margin of 9.0 points per game and they were an underdog on 3 of those occasions. Their most recent win was a 116-108 home win over Orlando this past Tuesday. Yet, they’re a sizable home underdog in this contest against a Denver team which has an identical 4-3 season record as they have, and they’re just 1-3 SU&ATS in road games. Denver is coming off a 121-110 road loss at the then winless Lakers in their previous contest in a game they closed as a 3.5-point favorite.
NBA road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 that are coming off a SU favorite loss (Denver), versus an opponent coming off a home win in which they scored 110 points or more, resulted in those road favorites going 57-21 ATS (73.1%) since 1996 and 24-6 ATS (80%) since 2018.
If it looks too good to be true when it comes to sports betting, more times than not it is. This is a textbook example of exactly that. Give me the Nuggets minus the points.
Game# 525-526
Play On: Denver -6.5 (5*)
This is one of those lines that won’t make sense to many NBA bettors. After all, Oklahoma City has gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games with an average victory margin of 9.0 points per game and they were an underdog on 3 of those occasions. Their most recent win was a 116-108 home win over Orlando this past Tuesday. Yet, they’re a sizable home underdog in this contest against a Denver team which has an identical 4-3 season record as they have, and they’re just 1-3 SU&ATS in road games. Denver is coming off a 121-110 road loss at the then winless Lakers in their previous contest in a game they closed as a 3.5-point favorite.
NBA road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 that are coming off a SU favorite loss (Denver), versus an opponent coming off a home win in which they scored 110 points or more, resulted in those road favorites going 57-21 ATS (73.1%) since 1996 and 24-6 ATS (80%) since 2018.
If it looks too good to be true when it comes to sports betting, more times than not it is. This is a textbook example of exactly that. Give me the Nuggets minus the points.
