Ross’ CFB Wise Guy $$$ Alert
(NCAAF) Troy vs. Louisiana-Lafayette, 11/05/2022 5:00 PM, Score: 23 - 17
Point Spread: -3.50 | -108.00 Troy (Away)
Result: Win
Troy @ UL-Lafayette 5:00 PM ET
Game# 391-392
Play On: Troy -4.0 (5*)

Troy is coming off a Sun Belt Conference 10-6 win at South Alabama in their previous game. That victory was the 5th in a row for the Trojans and improved their season record to 6-2. Their only 2 losses came at nationally ranked Ole Miss 28-10 and at Appalachian State 32-28 when they allowed a miracle Hail Mary touchdown pass on the last play of the game. It’s been a to0ugh transition for UL-Lafayette in the first year since former head coach Billy Napier took the Florida job. They Rajun Cajuns are just 3-4 this season versus FBS teams.

College Football away favorites of between 3.5 and 10.0 with a win percentage of .428 or better (Troy) who scored and allowed 17 points or fewer in their previous game, versus an opponent (UL-Lafayette) coming off a loss by 3 points or more, resulted in those road favorites going an unbeaten 8-0 ATS since 2018. It is a short sample size, but those 8 road favorites of 3.5 to 10.0 won those contests by an average of 32.1 points per game. This is a strong betting situation for the road favorite.

Give me Troy minus the points.