CBB 5*
(NCAAB) St. John's vs. Creighton, 01/25/2023 9:00 PM, Score: 76 - 104
Point Spread: -10.50 | -109.00 Creighton (Home)
Result: Win
St. John’s @ Creighton 9:00 PM ET
Game #319-320
Play On: Creighton -10.5 (5*)

This seems to be a very heavy number for the favorite Creighton Blue Jays (11-8) versus a St. John’s team who has a better overall record (13-7). However, there’s a huge disparity between these teams in regards strength of schedule. KenPom indicates that Creighton has played the 7th toughest schedule in college basketball while St. John’s ranks a dismal #326 in the category. The obvious difference comes in the level of non-conference opponents each team faced. As a matter of fact, St. John’s has gone just 2-6 in conference games. On the other hand, Creighton is 4-0 in conference home games with an average victory margin of 16.3 points per contest. Furthermore, St. Jon’s is just 1-4 SU in true road games.

Give me Creighton minus the points.