Point Spread: -6.50 | -110.00 Kansas (Home)
Play On: Kansas -6.5
Kansas will be in a sour mood after losing on the road to in-state rival Kansas State 75-70 in their previous game. We must keep in mind, that contest took place just 2 days after Kansas turned in a flawless performance in a convincing win over #5 Houston. The Jayhawks are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS this season immediately following a loss and with an average victory margin of 13.7 points per game. The Jayhawks are also a perfect 12-0 at home this season with a sizable point per game differential of +16.4. Kansas has won their last 3 at home versus Baylor and by an average decisive margin of 17.7 points per game despite being just a small favorite on 2 of those occasions and an underdog on another.
As good as Baylor is, their defensive play over their previous 5 games has been extremely shaky. During that span they’ve allowed opponents to shoot a combined 49.5% from and filed and an alarmingly high 44.1% from 3-point range. That shapes up as problematic against a Kansa team that at home this season has shot 53.3% from the field and made an excellent 41.3% of their 3-point shot attempts.
This is another example of a heavy line that reeks of sportsbooks pleading with you to take the nationally ranked hefty underdog. I’m not taking the bait. Give me Kansas minus points.