PREMIUM
Ross’ Final 4 Perfect Betting Angle
(NCAAB) Alabama vs. Connecticut,
04/06/2024 8:49 PM, Score: 72 - 86
Point Spread: -11.50 | -107.00 Connecticut (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -11.50 | -107.00 Connecticut (Home)
Result: Win
Alabama vs. Connecticut 8:49 PM ET
Game# 671-672
Play On: Connecticut -11.5
Analytically speaking, this is a horrible matchup for Alabama. The won’t be able to contend with UConn on the boards for one. Secondly, 46.9% of Alabama’s field goal attempts are 3-point shots, and over their previous 5 games UConn has held their opponents to a combined 24.5% shooting from 3-point territory. Additionally, Alabama loves to play at a frenetic offense pace while UConn doesn’t. However, the Huskies are flexible enough to play that style and be extremely effective while doing so. Keep in mind, Connecticut ranks #1 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency with 126.7 points scored per 100 offensive possessions. The Huskies are also #4 in adjusted defensive efficiency while allowing 0.915 points per opponent’s offensive possessions. On the other hand, Alabama has allowed 82 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games. Connecticut has held opponents to less than 40% shooting in 25 of their 38 games (65.8%) this season. Alabama has shot less than 40% 5 times this season and went 1-4 SU&ATS during those contests. Their only win in that sequence came in the NCAA Tournament versus Grand Canyon who’s a far cry from what they’re about to face tonight. Give me Connecticut minus points.
Since the 2017 NCAA Tournament, any #1 seed like UConn that was a favorite of between 7.0 to 14.0 in a Regional Final, National Semifinal, or Championship game have gone 5-0 SU&ATS with an average victory margin of 18.8 points per contest. Give me Connecticut minus points.
Game# 671-672
Play On: Connecticut -11.5
Analytically speaking, this is a horrible matchup for Alabama. The won’t be able to contend with UConn on the boards for one. Secondly, 46.9% of Alabama’s field goal attempts are 3-point shots, and over their previous 5 games UConn has held their opponents to a combined 24.5% shooting from 3-point territory. Additionally, Alabama loves to play at a frenetic offense pace while UConn doesn’t. However, the Huskies are flexible enough to play that style and be extremely effective while doing so. Keep in mind, Connecticut ranks #1 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency with 126.7 points scored per 100 offensive possessions. The Huskies are also #4 in adjusted defensive efficiency while allowing 0.915 points per opponent’s offensive possessions. On the other hand, Alabama has allowed 82 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games. Connecticut has held opponents to less than 40% shooting in 25 of their 38 games (65.8%) this season. Alabama has shot less than 40% 5 times this season and went 1-4 SU&ATS during those contests. Their only win in that sequence came in the NCAA Tournament versus Grand Canyon who’s a far cry from what they’re about to face tonight. Give me Connecticut minus points.
Since the 2017 NCAA Tournament, any #1 seed like UConn that was a favorite of between 7.0 to 14.0 in a Regional Final, National Semifinal, or Championship game have gone 5-0 SU&ATS with an average victory margin of 18.8 points per contest. Give me Connecticut minus points.
