MLB Golden Total: 42-12 (77.8%) Betting Angle
(MLB) NY Mets vs. Atlanta, 04/10/2024 7:20 PM, Score: 0 - 0
Total: 9.50 | -106.00 Over
Result: Push
Mets (Quintana) @ Braves (Winans) 7:20
Game# 961-962
Play On: Over 9.5

Jose Quintana of the Mets has made 2 career starts at Atlanta and they didn’t go weel. During those 2 outings he collected a lofty 7.84 ERA/1.84 WHIP. Quintana has a deceivingly low 2.61 ERA during his only 2 starts in 2024. Nevertheless, considering he also posted a 1.64 WHIP in those starts he has been more lucky than good. It’s also worth noting that Quintana had a terrible 6.19 ERA/1.75 WHIP in 5 spring training starts. The Mets bats have awakened over their previous 4 outings while averaging 5.5 runs scored and 10.7 hits per game.

The Braves have averaged 7.4 runs scored and 11.4 hit per game over their previous 5 outings. Atlanta will be facing a 4-7 Mets team which has been outscored by an average of 1.1 runs per game thus far. Since the start of last season, Atlanta has gone 9-1 to the over at home versus teams being outscored by 1.0 or more runs per game on the season. Allan Winans will be making just his 7th career MLB start for Atlanta. During his 3 starts at home last year Winans had a horrible 8.44 ERA and allowed 5 homers in only 16.0 innings pitched.

The Atlanta Braves enter today with a sensational .309 team batting average. Conversely the Mets has an abysmal .333 team slugging percentage thus far in 2024. Any National League home team with a total of 9.0 or 9.5 that has a .280 or better team batting average, versus a National League team that has a slugging percentage of .390 or worse, resulted in those game playing 42-12 (77.8%) to the over since 1997. Give me this game to go over the total.