Sacramento is looking to continue their win streak and the Grizzlies in my opinion are too injured to fight against a stronger offense. In their three wins that the Grizzlies strung together, they were all against offenses that rank toward the bottom of the league. Once they face a better offense such as the Pacers, they end up losing and are unable to keep up with them.

Home dogs after 27 games with no rest versus rested opponents are 42%. If the HD was on the road and playing a 3rd game in 4 nights it drops to 35% ATS.

This should be amplified as Memphis played yesterday versus a very up-tempo Pacers squad. Grizzlies are 0-3 SU/ATS with no rest since December 29th. Teams are 0-6 ATS the game after Indiana with no rest.

Sacramento should get a big win and cover here on Monday night!