KC is tough at home with their speedy outfielders who can track down the ball in the large outfield. Ervin Santana will try to help the surging Royals continue their good play when he gets the ball against Jake Peavy and the Red Sox. Santana has thrown 11 quality starts over his last 12 outings and sports a very nice 2.71 ERA and 1.07 WHIP at home. Santana is one of the more vocal players on the Royals team and their latest surge has certainly given him an extra boost, especially after the team chose not to trade him.
Jake Peavy has had his struggles against the Royals since he joined the White Sox in 2009. Over 70 innings, Peavy has a 4.50 ERA against the Royals. Peavy's ground ball rate has dropped for the fifth straight year, and fly balls are a problem at Kauffman Stadium with its spacious gaps and deep corners. Not coincidentally, Peavy owns a 5.80 ERA and a .327 batting average against in six career starts at Kauffman Stadium.

The Royals are playing with a lot of confidence right now and have an advantage in the starting pitcher matchup and also with the bullpens. I like KC here at home in a pickem situation.