I'll take Montana on the Moneyline at home vs Portland State for these reasons:

- This game ended 94-91 in the first meeting @ Portland State which was pretty good for Montana who are a 3-9 road team.

- Both teams shot 55% from 3pt range last outing. I don't see that happening again for Portland State, who are 33% three point shooters this season (Montana State only allow 33% shooting to opponents this season, so the home advantage may have boosted Portland States efficiency).

- Portland State hasn't won in Montana since 2020. But I do expect a close game here, which decreases my liking to the total.

- In a close game you want the better Freethrow shooting team which is clearly Montana State who shoot 74% from the charity stripe compared to Portland State's horrible 69% shooting from the line.

- Portland State are 0-4 in their last 4 straight road games. 1-3 ATS in that stretch.

- Montana State in desperation mode for this home spot vs a beatable team. Attempting to avoid a 5 game losing streak.

Official Play: Montana State Moneyline

Side Bet: Under 150