(NFL) Cleveland vs. Pittsburgh, 09/18/2023 8:15 PM, Score: 22 - 26
Total: 38.00 | -109.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* AFC NORTH TOM on the OVER Browns/Steelers.

Both teams struggled to put points on the board in Week 1, and that's helped in pushing this Week 2 total a little lower than it normally would/should be in my opinion.

Cleveland comes in off a 24-3 win at home over Cincinnati. Hard to get a firm readon on the Browns, as the result was so lop-sided an upexpected. Clearly the Bengals have their issues, so I say the book is still out on Cleveland right now.

Can't deny the defense looked great against Joe Burrow and company, but now on the road facing this determined Steelers team that was humbled 30-7 here at home by San Francisco. The 49ers defense was a strength of the team last year, and it is again this season as well.

DeShaun Watson finished with 154 yards passing and a TD, along with another rushing TD for Cleveland, and I believe he can build off that performance with an even better one here on the National stage.

Last year Cleveland was ranked 19th in league in average points allowed per game at 21.2.

The Steelers run defense was terrible last week, as Christian McCaffrey gouged them for 151 yards and a TD. That's not good news facing this run-heavy Browns offense. QB Kenny Pickett had 232 yards passing and a TD. He also had two costly INT's.

Either way, I say this one comfortably eclipses the number down the stretch, with each side improving significantly on the offensive side of the ball here in Week 2.

This number is indeed low, the play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP