Calgary Stampeders at Hamilton Tiger-Cats Picks and Predictions for Saturday, October 11, 2025

By: David Anicetti Published 10/07/2025, 01:22 PM ET

The Calgary Stampeders travel east to face the Hamilton Tiger-Cats on Saturday in Week 19 of the CFL season. Kickoff is at 7:00 p.m. ET at Tim Hortons Field in Hamilton. The Tiger-Cats are 3.5-point home favorites, with the total at 49.5. Calgary enters the matchup at 6–10, sitting fourth in the West, while Hamilton holds an 8–8 record, second in the East and looking to secure a home playoff game. Kick the winning field goal with our free CFL Picks.

Calgary Stampeders Preview

Calgary’s offense has been inconsistent this year, averaging 24.1 points and 364.3 total yards per game. Quarterback Jake Maier has thrown for 4,215 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions, completing 66% of his passes. Reggie Begelton leads the team with 1,082 receiving yards and six touchdowns, while Marken Michel has caught passes for 758 yards. The run game, led by Dedrick Mills, has contributed 744 rushing yards and five touchdowns, and the team averages only 88 yards per game on the ground.

Defensively, the Stampeders have allowed 27.8 points and 371.9 yards per game, ranking in the middle of the league. Calgary’s secondary has given up 276 passing yards per game, but the front seven has recorded 38 sacks. The Stampeders have alternated wins and losses over the last five, including a 27–24 victory over Ottawa, followed by a 31–20 defeat to Winnipeg. Calgary’s ability to sustain drives and avoid second-and-long situations will determine whether it can stay within one score on the road.

Hamilton Tiger-Cats Preview

Hamilton enters on a three-game winning streak and has been much stronger at home, averaging 27.2 points per game at Tim Hortons Field. Quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell has passed for 3,748 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 13 interceptions while completing 67% of his throws. Running back James Butler anchors the ground attack with 928 rushing yards and eight touchdowns, giving Hamilton one of the league’s more balanced offenses. Receivers Tim White (1,084 yards) and Kiondre Smith (702) continue to stretch defenses, combining for 11 scores.

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Defensively, the Tiger-Cats allow 25.2 points and 343.5 total yards per game, with one of the league’s best red-zone defenses—opponents convert just 51% of trips inside the 20. Hamilton has forced 29 turnovers and recorded 40 sacks, led by lineman Casey Sayles with eight. The Ticats’ recent surge has come from steady first-half scoring and better field position from special teams, and they’ve covered in four of the last five games.

Calgary Stampeders at Hamilton Tiger-Cats Prediction

Calgary’s passing game can keep this close early, but Hamilton’s home-field advantage and stronger defense give it the overall advantage. Expect a back-and-forth beginning before the Tiger-Cats pull away in the second half. Final Score Prediction: Hamilton Tiger-Cats win and cover ATS 32-21.

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