Edmonton Elks vs Montreal Alouettes Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday August 8 2026
Edmonton's trip to Montreal for a marquee Week 10 CFL matchup pits two of the league's strongest teams against each other, and this game is worth stacking up against our full board of free CFL predictions before locking anything in. With both quarterbacks playing at an elite level this season, the number on the board may not fully capture how close this game could be.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Edmonton +3.5
- Total Pick: Under 59.5
- Projected Final Score: Alouettes 30, Elks 28
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Elks | +3.5 (-110) | Over 59.5 (-105) |
| Montreal Alouettes | -3.5 (-110) | Under 59.5 (-115) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Edmonton | Montreal | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04 | 02:29:08PM | 3½ (-104) | -3½ (-118) | MTL 93%, 87% |
| 08/04 | 02:29:08PM | 3½ (-104) | -3½ (-118) | MTL 88%, 87% |
| 08/04 | 02:29:08PM | 3½ (-104) | -3½ (-118) | MTL 90%, 88% |
| 08/04 | 02:29:08PM | 3½ (-104) | -3½ (-118) | MTL 94%, 92% |
| 08/04 | 02:29:08PM | 3½ (-104) | -3½ (-118) | MTL 88%, 92% |
| 08/04 | 02:29:08PM | 3½ (-104) | -3½ (-118) | MTL 91%, 88% |
| 08/04 | 02:29:08PM | 3½ (-104) | -3½ (-118) | MTL 89%, 89% |
| 08/06 | 10:09:20AM | 3½ (-106) | -3½ (-114) | MTL 91%, 89% |
| 08/06 | 10:09:20AM | 3½ (-106) | -3½ (-114) | MTL 90%, 88% |
| 08/06 | 10:09:20AM | 3½ (-106) | -3½ (-114) | MTL 88%, 91% |
| 08/06 | 10:09:20AM | 3½ (-106) | -3½ (-114) | MTL 93%, 91% |
| 08/06 | 10:09:20AM | 3½ (-106) | -3½ (-114) | MTL 94%, 91% |
| 08/07 | 11:18:08AM | 3½ (-110) | -3½ (-110) | MTL 94%, 92% |
| 08/07 | 11:18:08AM | 3½ (-110) | -3½ (-110) | MTL 91%, 89% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02 | 05:24:34PM | - | - | - |
| 08/03 | 02:30:16AM | 58½o-112 | 58½u-108 | - |
| 08/07 | 11:17:36AM | 59½o-105 | 59½u-115 | O87%, O92% |
Elks vs Alouettes Key Matchups and Game Preview
Montreal Passing Efficiency
Davis Alexander has been outstanding for Montreal, completing 71.6% of his passes for 2,788 yards with 14 touchdowns against just one interception and a 119.5 efficiency rating. That level of ball security has been a driving force behind the Alouettes' 7-1 record and five-game winning streak, and it stands as one of the top quarterback performances in the league this season.
Elks Signal Caller
Edmonton's Cody Fajardo has completed 71.9% of his passes for 2,577 yards, 14 touchdowns and only four interceptions, producing a 112.8 efficiency rating. Both quarterbacks were already receiving league-wide recognition as two of the CFL's top performers earlier this season, setting up a genuine strength-on-strength battle in this matchup.
Edmonton's Ground Attack
Edmonton possesses the more dangerous rushing weapon in Justin Rankin, who has 589 yards and seven touchdowns on 94 carries while averaging 6.3 yards per attempt, and he has also contributed 418 receiving yards. Austin Mack leads the Elks with 656 receiving yards and five touchdowns, giving Edmonton multiple weapons to attack a strong Montreal defense.
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Alouettes Receiving Corps
Montreal counters with Tyson Philpot, who has produced 1,023 yards on 64 receptions, and Tyler Snead, who has 794 yards and five touchdowns. Travis Theis gives the Alouettes their own productive ground game with 600 yards and six scores at 6.3 yards per carry, rounding out an offense that has outscored opponents 273-217 on the season.
Betting Trends: EDM vs MTL
- Montreal enters 7-1 with a five-game winning streak and a 273-217 scoring differential.
- Edmonton is 6-2 with a 229-200 scoring differential.
- Edmonton already beat Montreal 32-29 in overtime on June 20, proving it can win this matchup outright.
- Public tickets have heavily favored Montreal on the spread throughout the line movement window, with support ranging from 88% to 94% of bets on the Alouettes.
- The total has drawn majority Over support at 87% to 92% of tickets as the number climbed from 58.5 to 59.5.
Key Injuries and Things To Know: EDM vs MTL
- Edmonton: Significant offensive-line depth is on the six-game injured list, including David Beard, Brett Boyko and Coulter Woodmansey, along with linebacker Nick Anderson, potentially making protection against Montreal's defense a bigger concern.
- Montreal: Offensive linemen Justin Lawrence and Des Holmes are on the six-game injured list, receiver Jerreth Sterns is also sidelined, and defensive back Kabion Ento is on the one-game injured list.
- Edmonton already proved it can win this matchup, beating Montreal 32-29 in overtime on June 20, which adds context to the current 3.5-point line.
Elks vs Alouettes Side and Over/Under Picks
- Best Bet: Edmonton +3.5
- Total Play: Under 59.5
- Value Angle: Monitor Edmonton's offensive-line injuries, as further absences there could affect Fajardo's protection against Montreal's pass rush
Fajardo's accuracy, Rankin's rushing efficiency and Edmonton's 6-2 record make Elks +3.5 the preferred spread play, especially considering Edmonton already beat Montreal outright earlier this season. On the total, both offenses are operating at a high level of efficiency, but the relatively demanding number of 59.5 supports leaning toward the Under in what projects as a tightly contested game.
Final Score Prediction
- Projected Score: Alouettes 30, Elks 28
- Winning Margin: Two points for Montreal, but Edmonton covers the +3.5 spread
- Total Result: Under 59.5
How to Wager On Elks vs Alouettes
For this Elks vs Alouettes matchup, the spread is the more attractive market given Edmonton's prior win over Montreal this season and the strength of Fajardo's efficient passing attack, even as public money has piled onto the Alouettes throughout the line movement window. The total is also worth prioritizing, since both quarterbacks have been sharp all season, but the demanding number at 59.5 favors a tighter, more controlled game script.
Bettors looking to expand their card around this game can also check our AI picks resource, along with our Dimers review and Oddible review, both of which can help cross-check projections against the numbers laid out here for Elks vs Alouettes.
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