Montreal Alouettes vs Edmonton Elks Picks and Prediction for the 113th Grey Cup — Sunday November 15 2026
Montreal and Edmonton meet Sunday in the 113th Grey Cup at McMahon Stadium in Calgary, Alberta. Kickoff is scheduled for 6 PM ET, and Montreal is favored by 3.5 points, with the total at 55.5. The game will be played outdoors, and the early forecast looks pretty good for Calgary in November. We’re expecting temperatures around 46 degrees at kickoff, dropping into the low 40s, with winds around 5-6 mph and gusts near 10-12 mph. Rain doesn’t look like a problem. That should give both offenses a fair shot at playing their usual game. I like Montreal, although Edmonton has already beaten the Alouettes once this season. This is the end of the CFL season, but be ready for all the action next season with our free CFL picks.
Montreal Has Been the Best Team in the East
Montreal finished the regular season 14-4 and earned the top seed in the East. The Alouettes beat Winnipeg 33-23 in the Eastern Final, and they’ve been playing good football for most of the season. They also went undefeated at home, which tells you how difficult they’ve been to beat. Now they have to do it on neutral ground. Calgary isn’t Montreal, but the Alouettes have enough experience in big games that I don’t think the setting will bother them.
The Alouettes averaged 34.7 points per game during the regular season and allowed 26.4. That’s a pretty impressive offensive number. Montreal also led the CFL with 71 touchdowns. The Alouettes have been able to score through the air and on the ground, which makes them difficult to defend. Edmonton has been good defensively, but the Elks allowed 48 points when these teams met in Montreal during the regular season. That’s something I’d be thinking about if I were backing Edmonton.
Montreal has been getting excellent production from its receiving group. Tyson Philpot and Tyler Snead each finished with 13 receiving touchdowns, tied for the league lead. That’s a pretty serious problem for opposing secondaries. The Alouettes can attack different parts of the field, and they don’t need to depend on one receiver. Montreal also needs to protect the football. Edmonton has enough offense to punish turnovers, and giving the Elks extra possessions would be a good way to make this game more difficult than necessary.
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Edmonton Has Earned Its Shot
Edmonton finished 13-5 and won the West Division. The Elks beat B.C. 28-16 in the Western Final, which was an impressive defensive performance against a dangerous offense. Edmonton has been one of the better teams in the CFL all season, and it certainly didn’t stumble into the championship game. The Elks also get to play in Alberta, although McMahon Stadium is in Calgary rather than Edmonton. That isn’t a true home-field advantage, but the trip is a lot shorter than Montreal’s.
The Elks averaged 30.1 points per game and allowed 24.3 during the regular season. That’s a pretty good balance. Edmonton has been especially effective running the football and finishing drives. The Elks also converted 55 field goals during the season, so they’ve been getting points even when drives stall. Montreal has the better overall offense, but Edmonton has been slightly better defensively. That could matter if this game stays close into the fourth quarter.
Justin Rankin and Cody Fajardo combined for 17 rushing touchdowns during the regular season. That’s a big part of Edmonton’s offensive identity. The Elks have been able to finish drives on the ground, which is important against a Montreal defense that has allowed some points. Edmonton also needs its passing game to make Montreal respect the entire field. If the Alouettes can load up against the run without worrying about getting beaten deep, the Elks are going to have a difficult afternoon.
Montreal Alouettes vs Edmonton Elks Picks and Prediction
Spread Pick: Montreal Alouettes -3.5
I’m taking Montreal and laying the 3.5 points. Edmonton has been good all season, and the Elks already beat Montreal 32-29 back in June. I haven’t forgotten that. But the Alouettes won the rematch 48-30, and I think their offense gives them the edge. Montreal averaged almost 35 points a game and led the league in touchdowns. Edmonton has a good defense, but it hasn’t been able to shut Montreal down consistently. I think the Alouettes have enough scoring options to win by a touchdown.
Total Pick: Over 55.5
I’ll take the over 55.5. Both teams averaged more than 30 points during the regular season, and their two meetings produced 61 and 78 combined points. That’s a pretty good argument for expecting offense. The weather also looks favorable, with light winds and little chance of precipitation. The biggest concern is Edmonton trying to control the clock with its running game. A championship game can also make teams more conservative, particularly early. But I think Montreal’s offense will force Edmonton to keep scoring. Something around 34-27 Alouettes makes sense to me.
Final Picks: Montreal Alouettes -3.5 | Over 55.5
Disclaimer: Completed November 11, 2026. The listed betting market requires confirmation that the price is available through a U.S.-licensed sportsbook. Weather, injuries, and lines may change before kickoff.
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