Ottawa Redblacks vs BC Lions Picks and Predictions for Friday October 9 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 10/04/2026, 11:26 PM ET
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The Ottawa Redblacks visit the BC Lions at BC Place in Vancouver, British Columbia, on Friday, October 9, 2026. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET with coverage on TSN. Ottawa enters at 0-15 and remains the CFL’s only winless team, while BC is 9-6 and sits second in the West Division. At the time of this writing the betting odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free CFL picks for more CFL predictions throughout the season.

Ottawa Is Still Searching for an Answer

Ottawa fell to 0-15 with another defeat in Week 18 and has three opportunities remaining to avoid completing a winless regular season. Unfortunately for the Redblacks, a trip to Vancouver represents one of their most difficult remaining assignments.

Ottawa averages a league-low 23.7 points per game and 343.2 total yards. The Redblacks are particularly ineffective on the ground, producing only 53 rushing yards per game. That lack of balance makes it difficult to consistently sustain possessions against quality defenses.

The defensive numbers are even more troubling. Ottawa allows a CFL-worst 37.2 points and 464.5 total yards per game. Opponents average 347.7 passing yards and 131.3 rushing yards against the Redblacks, leaving very few areas where Ottawa owns a dependable matchup advantage.

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BC Owns Advantages Everywhere

BC enters at 9-6 and remains firmly involved in the West Division playoff race. The Lions possess one of the league’s most productive offenses, averaging 30.1 points and a CFL-best 426.1 total yards per game.

The matchup with Ottawa’s defense is especially favorable. BC produces 321.5 passing yards and 119.8 rushing yards per game, meaning the Lions can attack a Redblacks defense that ranks last against both the pass and the run.

BC’s defense also provides a dramatic advantage. The Lions allow only 26.5 points and a league-best 345.6 total yards per game. Most impressive is their run defense, which permits only 60.3 yards per contest. Ottawa already owns the league’s weakest rushing attack, making that mismatch particularly severe.

Ottawa Redblacks vs BC Lions Picks and Predictions

Pick: BC Lions Against the Spread

BC is the side pick once sportsbooks establish the spread. Ottawa has lost all 15 games and enters with the CFL’s worst scoring defense and worst total defense. BC owns the league’s best total offense and best total defense by yardage, creating statistical advantages on virtually every part of the field. The Lions are also 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. Unless bookmakers hang an extreme number, BC is the team to back.

Pick: Over the Total

The Over is my preferred total. Ottawa’s defensive problems are simply too severe to ignore against an offense averaging more than 426 yards per game. BC has a realistic opportunity to score into the 30s or 40s without needing significant help from Ottawa. The Redblacks still average 23.7 points despite their record, so even a modest offensive contribution could be enough to drive this game above the eventual number.

Final Picks: BC Lions Against the Spread and Over the Total

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