Ottawa Redblacks vs Saskatchewan Roughriders Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday August 7 2026
Ottawa's trip to Mosaic Stadium in Week 10 of the 2026 CFL season sets up a lopsided number on paper, and this matchup is worth comparing against our full board of free CFL picks before locking anything in. With Saskatchewan dealing with significant injuries to its receiving corps, the spread carries more risk than the Roughriders' record alone would suggest.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Ottawa +7.5
- Total Pick: Under 60.5
- Projected Final Score: Roughriders 30, Redblacks 24
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Ottawa Redblacks | +7.5 (-105) | Over 60.5 (-108) |
| Saskatchewan Roughriders | -7.5 (-115) | Under 60.5 (-112) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Ottawa | Saskatchewan | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04 | 04:51:46PM | 8½ (-110) | -8½ (-110) | SSK 91%, 89% |
| 08/04 | 04:51:46PM | 8½ (-110) | -8½ (-110) | SSK 90%, 90% |
| 08/04 | 04:51:46PM | 8½ (-110) | -8½ (-110) | SSK 87%, 90% |
| 08/04 | 04:51:46PM | 8½ (-110) | -8½ (-110) | SSK 90%, 88% |
| 08/04 | 04:51:46PM | 8½ (-110) | -8½ (-110) | SSK 92%, 92% |
| 08/04 | 04:51:46PM | 8½ (-110) | -8½ (-110) | SSK 90%, 87% |
| 08/06 | 12:40:21PM | 7½ (-108) | -7½ (-112) | SSK 89%, 88% |
| 08/06 | 12:40:21PM | 7½ (-108) | -7½ (-112) | SSK 87%, 94% |
| 08/06 | 04:07:52PM | 7 (-108) | -7 (-112) | SSK 87%, 87% |
| 08/06 | 04:08:50PM | 7 (-105) | -7 (-115) | SSK 88%, 89% |
| 08/06 | 04:08:50PM | 7 (-105) | -7 (-115) | SSK 94%, 91% |
| 08/06 | 04:08:50PM | 7 (-105) | -7 (-115) | SSK 88%, 87% |
| 08/06 | 04:08:50PM | 7 (-105) | -7 (-115) | SSK 92%, 89% |
| 08/06 | 04:08:50PM | 7 (-105) | -7 (-115) | SSK 91%, 91% |
| 08/06 | 04:08:50PM | 7 (-105) | -7 (-115) | SSK 94%, 89% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04 | 04:45:59PM | 61½o-108 | 61½u-112 | - |
| 08/06 | 12:35:17PM | 61½o-112 | 61½u-108 | - |
| 08/06 | 03:22:27PM | 61½o-102 | 61½u-118 | - |
| 08/06 | 04:05:50PM | 61½o-105 | 61½u-115 | O90%, O91% |
| 08/06 | 04:08:50PM | 60½o-108 | 60½u-112 | O88%, O92% |
Redblacks vs Roughriders Key Matchups and Game Preview
Saskatchewan Passing Attack
Trevor Harris has completed 72.7% of his passes for 2,254 yards, 17 touchdowns and six interceptions, producing a 117.1 efficiency rating that gives Saskatchewan a clear edge at the quarterback position. That efficiency has been a driving force behind the Roughriders' 5-2 record, and it is the primary reason Saskatchewan sits as a 7.5-point home favorite despite significant injuries elsewhere on the roster.
OTT Offensive Struggles
Ottawa's Jake Maier is completing 70.6% of his passes for 2,027 yards with eight touchdowns, nine interceptions and an 88.7 rating, a noticeably lower efficiency mark than his counterpart. The Redblacks do have capable targets in Ayden Eberhardt, who has 538 receiving yards, Justin Hardy at 503 and Kalil Pimpleton at 305, but the offense has struggled to finish drives across an 0-7 start to the season.
Roughriders' Receiver Losses
Saskatchewan's offense is dealing with major personnel losses at receiver, with Kian Schaffer-Baker and Samuel Emilus both moved to the six-game injured list, stripping Harris of two of his three leading pass catchers. Schaffer-Baker has 704 yards and four touchdowns this season, while Emilus has 448 yards and five scores, and their combined absence significantly reduces Saskatchewan's downfield firepower heading into this matchup.
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Redblacks Ground Game
Ottawa's ground game has provided little balance so far this season, with Greg Bell managing only 217 yards on 56 carries. That lack of a rushing threat puts additional pressure on Maier and the passing attack to carry the offense, which has been a persistent problem for a Redblacks team that has lost all seven of its games this season.
Betting Trends: OTT vs SSK
- Ottawa enters 0-7 with 166 points scored and 247 allowed.
- Saskatchewan is 5-2 with 232 points for and 195 against.
- The Roughriders already beat the Redblacks 27-22 in Ottawa on July 3, winning by just five points.
- Public tickets have heavily favored Saskatchewan on the spread throughout the line movement window, with support ranging from 87% to 94% of bets on the Roughriders.
- The total has drawn majority Over support near 88% to 92% of tickets as the number settled at 60.5.
Key Injuries and Things To Know: OTT vs SSK
- Ottawa: Veteran lineman Cleyon Laing, linebacker Nyles Morgan and defensive back Bennett Williams are among players on the six-game injured list, thinning a unit that has already allowed more than 35 points per game.
- Saskatchewan: Receivers Kian Schaffer-Baker and Samuel Emilus have both been moved to the six-game injured list, along with fullback Albert Awachie and defensive back Tevaughn Campbell. Linebacker Josh Woods has been a game-time decision, although defensive back Nelson Lokombo is returning.
- Saskatchewan already escaped the first meeting between these two teams by only five points, even before its receiving corps was further depleted by injury.
Redblacks vs Roughriders Side and Over/Under Picks
- Best Bet: Ottawa +7.5
- Total Play: Under 60.5
- Value Angle: Monitor Josh Woods' game-time decision for Saskatchewan, as further defensive absences could open up more room for Ottawa's passing attack
Saskatchewan's depleted receiving corps and the hook above a touchdown make Ottawa +7.5 the preferred side, especially considering the Roughriders escaped the first meeting by only five points even before losing two of their top three pass catchers. On the total, Ottawa has averaged under 24 points per game, and Saskatchewan may lean more heavily on its rushing and short-yardage packages given its receiver injuries, both of which support a slower, more conservative game script that favors the Under 60.5.
Final Score Prediction
- Projected Score: Roughriders 30, Redblacks 24
- Winning Margin: Six points for Saskatchewan, but Ottawa covers the +7.5 spread
- Total Result: Under 60.5
How to Wager On Redblacks vs Roughriders
For this Redblacks vs Roughriders matchup, the spread is the more attractive market given Saskatchewan's injury losses at receiver and the fact that the first meeting between these two teams was decided by just five points. The total is also worth prioritizing, since Ottawa's offense has struggled to finish drives all season and Saskatchewan's shorthanded passing attack could lead to a more run-heavy, lower-scoring approach on both sides.
Bettors looking to expand their card around this game can also check our AI picks resource, along with our Dimers review and Oddible review, both of which can help cross-check projections against the numbers laid out here for Redblacks vs Roughriders.
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