2026 MLB Betting Trends: Best Run Line, Moneyline, and Totals Picks by Team
2026 MLB Betting Trends: Best Run Line, Moneyline, and Totals Picks by Team
The 2026 MLB season has produced clear separation in the betting market, and the team-by-team numbers tell the story. The Tampa Bay Rays have been the most profitable club to back on the run line, while the Seattle Mariners and Los Angeles Angels have been steady money-losers no matter the side. Below are the full 30-team rankings for every major market, sorted by return on investment, to sharpen your best bets and build smarter parlays.
Records reflect flat 1-unit stakes at the closing line through September 8, 2026. A positive ROI means blindly backing that side all season would have shown a profit.
Best Season-Long Trends at a Glance
Four angles stand out across the full board this season: Tampa Bay on the run line (75-65, plus 12.0 percent), Washington on the first-5 run line (90-55, plus 16.5 percent), the Angels on team-total Unders (plus 13.3 percent), and Minnesota on full-game Overs (77-57, plus 8.4 percent). Each is anchored by a large sample, which is what separates a genuine market edge from a hot streak.
Run Line Picks (Against the Spread)
The run line applies a 1.5-run spread to every game. Tampa Bay leads the league at 75-65, with Milwaukee and Atlanta close behind. On the other end, Seattle has been baseball's worst run-line team this season.
| Rank | Team | ATS Record | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 75-65 | +20.35u | +12.0% |
| 2 | Milwaukee Brewers | 75-69 | +16.00u | +9.7% |
| 3 | Atlanta Braves | 73-69 | +12.85u | +7.8% |
| 4 | San Diego Padres | 78-62 | +12.20u | +6.5% |
| 5 | Washington Nationals | 82-61 | +8.65u | +4.4% |
| 6 | New York Yankees | 70-72 | +6.30u | +3.9% |
| 7 | Chicago White Sox | 81-59 | +7.75u | +3.8% |
| 8 | St. Louis Cardinals | 79-62 | +2.35u | +1.2% |
| 9 | Boston Red Sox | 69-71 | +0.60u | +0.3% |
| 10 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 76-64 | +0.55u | +0.3% |
| 11 | Houston Astros | 74-70 | -0.05u | -0.0% |
| 12 | Colorado Rockies | 77-66 | -1.80u | -1.0% |
| 13 | Chicago Cubs | 68-74 | -2.25u | -1.3% |
| 14 | Toronto Blue Jays | 73-70 | -3.15u | -1.7% |
| 15 | Baltimore Orioles | 73-70 | -3.30u | -1.7% |
| 16 | Miami Marlins | 73-69 | -5.60u | -2.9% |
| 17 | Minnesota Twins | 76-66 | -7.00u | -3.5% |
| 18 | Detroit Tigers | 67-71 | -7.20u | -4.0% |
| 19 | Cincinnati Reds | 74-67 | -10.80u | -5.4% |
| 20 | Kansas City Royals | 70-69 | -15.70u | -7.9% |
| 21 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 66-74 | -14.55u | -8.0% |
| 22 | Cleveland Guardians | 66-77 | -16.45u | -9.0% |
| 23 | New York Mets | 64-77 | -16.45u | -9.2% |
| 24 | San Francisco Giants | 70-72 | -20.30u | -10.2% |
| 25 | Los Angeles Angels | 70-72 | -23.60u | -12.0% |
| 26 | Texas Rangers | 63-77 | -22.30u | -12.0% |
| 27 | Athletics | 68-76 | -24.95u | -13.0% |
| 28 | Philadelphia Phillies | 60-82 | -27.50u | -16.4% |
| 29 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 59-83 | -29.95u | -17.8% |
| 30 | Seattle Mariners | 55-88 | -31.00u | -18.4% |
Moneyline Picks (Straight Up)
Moneyline ROI rewards teams the market has underrated, not just the ones that win most. The Chicago White Sox top the board at 75-68 because so many of those wins came at plus money, with Tampa Bay second and Atlanta third. The Angels have been the single biggest moneyline drain in the sport.
| Rank | Team | Record | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago White Sox | 75-68 | +13.65u | +8.8% |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Rays | 85-58 | +14.15u | +7.7% |
| 3 | Atlanta Braves | 85-58 | +10.60u | +5.4% |
| 4 | Milwaukee Brewers | 88-56 | +11.25u | +5.3% |
| 5 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 76-68 | +8.60u | +5.1% |
| 6 | St. Louis Cardinals | 72-72 | +7.05u | +4.5% |
| 7 | San Diego Padres | 75-68 | +1.20u | +0.7% |
| 8 | Miami Marlins | 72-72 | +0.45u | +0.3% |
| 9 | Chicago Cubs | 81-63 | +0.30u | +0.1% |
| 10 | Philadelphia Phillies | 80-63 | -1.40u | -0.7% |
| 11 | Washington Nationals | 67-78 | -1.25u | -0.8% |
| 12 | Boston Red Sox | 79-65 | -2.05u | -1.1% |
| 13 | Cincinnati Reds | 69-74 | -2.80u | -1.8% |
| 14 | New York Yankees | 81-62 | -5.95u | -2.9% |
| 15 | Cleveland Guardians | 73-71 | -6.55u | -3.6% |
| 16 | Minnesota Twins | 68-75 | -6.75u | -4.2% |
| 17 | Toronto Blue Jays | 72-72 | -7.55u | -4.3% |
| 18 | Houston Astros | 73-71 | -7.85u | -4.5% |
| 19 | Colorado Rockies | 55-88 | -8.05u | -5.6% |
| 20 | Texas Rangers | 71-73 | -11.10u | -6.4% |
| 21 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 86-57 | -19.65u | -7.1% |
| 22 | Baltimore Orioles | 69-75 | -12.30u | -7.3% |
| 23 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 71-73 | -13.35u | -7.5% |
| 24 | Kansas City Royals | 64-80 | -15.90u | -9.9% |
| 25 | San Francisco Giants | 59-85 | -21.35u | -13.4% |
| 26 | Detroit Tigers | 65-78 | -24.20u | -13.8% |
| 27 | Athletics | 57-87 | -23.80u | -15.0% |
| 28 | New York Mets | 65-78 | -26.80u | -15.2% |
| 29 | Seattle Mariners | 67-77 | -30.20u | -15.7% |
| 30 | Los Angeles Angels | 54-89 | -25.50u | -16.8% |
Full-Game Totals Picks (Over / Under)
Totals splits cut both ways, so we rank the Over and the Under separately. The Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox have been the league's premier Over teams, while the Los Angeles Angels and Arizona anchor the Under side.
Best Over Plays
| Rank | Team | Over Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Twins | 77-57 | +8.4% |
| 2 | Chicago White Sox | 80-61 | +8.2% |
| 3 | Chicago Cubs | 80-62 | +7.9% |
| 4 | Washington Nationals | 75-62 | +4.7% |
| 5 | Seattle Mariners | 75-62 | +4.4% |
| 6 | Cincinnati Reds | 76-65 | +2.7% |
| 7 | Texas Rangers | 73-63 | +2.6% |
| 8 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 74-64 | +2.4% |
| 9 | Athletics | 73-66 | +0.6% |
| 10 | Houston Astros | 71-64 | -0.2% |
| 11 | Toronto Blue Jays | 71-69 | -2.9% |
| 12 | Miami Marlins | 71-69 | -3.2% |
| 13 | San Francisco Giants | 66-65 | -3.5% |
| 14 | Baltimore Orioles | 70-70 | -4.3% |
| 15 | New York Mets | 63-67 | -7.3% |
| 16 | Boston Red Sox | 68-72 | -7.5% |
| 17 | Tampa Bay Rays | 66-71 | -7.5% |
| 18 | Colorado Rockies | 68-72 | -7.5% |
| 19 | Kansas City Royals | 66-73 | -8.8% |
| 20 | Philadelphia Phillies | 64-71 | -8.8% |
| 21 | St. Louis Cardinals | 65-72 | -9.1% |
| 22 | Atlanta Braves | 64-72 | -9.7% |
| 23 | Cleveland Guardians | 67-76 | -9.9% |
| 24 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 66-75 | -10.6% |
| 25 | Milwaukee Brewers | 64-76 | -12.1% |
| 26 | San Diego Padres | 62-76 | -13.7% |
| 27 | Detroit Tigers | 61-76 | -14.2% |
| 28 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 61-77 | -15.0% |
| 29 | New York Yankees | 61-77 | -15.3% |
| 30 | Los Angeles Angels | 58-82 | -20.1% |
Best Under Plays
| Rank | Team | Under Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Angels | 58-82 | +11.8% |
| 2 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 61-77 | +6.5% |
| 3 | New York Yankees | 61-77 | +6.5% |
| 4 | Detroit Tigers | 61-76 | +6.0% |
| 5 | San Diego Padres | 62-76 | +5.2% |
| 6 | Milwaukee Brewers | 64-76 | +3.7% |
| 7 | Atlanta Braves | 64-72 | +1.8% |
| 8 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 66-75 | +1.7% |
| 9 | Cleveland Guardians | 67-76 | +0.8% |
| 10 | Philadelphia Phillies | 64-71 | +0.7% |
| 11 | Kansas City Royals | 66-73 | +0.7% |
| 12 | St. Louis Cardinals | 65-72 | +0.2% |
| 13 | Colorado Rockies | 68-72 | -1.1% |
| 14 | Tampa Bay Rays | 66-71 | -1.3% |
| 15 | New York Mets | 63-67 | -1.6% |
| 16 | Boston Red Sox | 68-72 | -1.7% |
| 17 | Baltimore Orioles | 70-70 | -4.0% |
| 18 | San Francisco Giants | 66-65 | -4.7% |
| 19 | Miami Marlins | 71-69 | -5.5% |
| 20 | Toronto Blue Jays | 71-69 | -5.6% |
| 21 | Athletics | 73-66 | -8.7% |
| 22 | Houston Astros | 71-64 | -8.9% |
| 23 | Texas Rangers | 73-63 | -10.4% |
| 24 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 74-64 | -10.8% |
| 25 | Cincinnati Reds | 76-65 | -11.6% |
| 26 | Washington Nationals | 75-62 | -12.6% |
| 27 | Seattle Mariners | 75-62 | -12.7% |
| 28 | Chicago Cubs | 80-62 | -16.0% |
| 29 | Chicago White Sox | 80-61 | -17.3% |
| 30 | Minnesota Twins | 77-57 | -17.7% |
Team Total Picks (Over / Under)
Team totals isolate one club's run production rather than the combined score. The Chicago Cubs and Washington have cleared their team numbers more than any other lineups, while the Angels and Mets have been the most dependable team-total Under sides.
Best Team-Total Over Plays
| Rank | Team | Over Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Cubs | 82-62 | +6.2% |
| 2 | Washington Nationals | 80-65 | +4.2% |
| 3 | Minnesota Twins | 79-64 | +3.9% |
| 4 | Milwaukee Brewers | 78-66 | +2.9% |
| 5 | Chicago White Sox | 77-66 | +1.0% |
| 6 | St. Louis Cardinals | 77-67 | +0.6% |
| 7 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 76-68 | -0.8% |
| 8 | Atlanta Braves | 75-68 | -1.2% |
| 9 | Boston Red Sox | 75-69 | -1.3% |
| 10 | Tampa Bay Rays | 75-68 | -1.5% |
| 11 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 74-70 | -3.7% |
| 12 | Colorado Rockies | 74-69 | -3.9% |
| 13 | Baltimore Orioles | 73-71 | -4.4% |
| 14 | Detroit Tigers | 71-72 | -6.2% |
| 15 | Cleveland Guardians | 72-72 | -6.9% |
| 16 | San Diego Padres | 70-73 | -7.5% |
| 17 | Miami Marlins | 69-75 | -8.7% |
| 18 | Philadelphia Phillies | 69-74 | -8.7% |
| 19 | Texas Rangers | 70-74 | -9.6% |
| 20 | Houston Astros | 68-76 | -9.9% |
| 21 | San Francisco Giants | 66-78 | -14.5% |
| 22 | Athletics | 66-78 | -14.8% |
| 23 | Toronto Blue Jays | 65-79 | -15.0% |
| 24 | Cincinnati Reds | 65-78 | -15.4% |
| 25 | Kansas City Royals | 65-79 | -15.8% |
| 26 | New York Yankees | 63-80 | -16.3% |
| 27 | Seattle Mariners | 63-81 | -18.2% |
| 28 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 60-83 | -21.0% |
| 29 | Los Angeles Angels | 57-86 | -25.2% |
| 30 | New York Mets | 58-85 | -25.8% |
Best Team-Total Under Plays
| Rank | Team | Under Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Angels | 57-86 | +13.3% |
| 2 | New York Mets | 58-85 | +12.9% |
| 3 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 60-83 | +9.6% |
| 4 | Seattle Mariners | 63-81 | +7.0% |
| 5 | New York Yankees | 63-80 | +4.1% |
| 6 | Toronto Blue Jays | 65-79 | +3.9% |
| 7 | Kansas City Royals | 65-79 | +3.4% |
| 8 | San Francisco Giants | 66-78 | +2.8% |
| 9 | Cincinnati Reds | 65-78 | +2.5% |
| 10 | Athletics | 66-78 | +1.2% |
| 11 | Miami Marlins | 69-75 | -1.1% |
| 12 | Houston Astros | 68-76 | -2.1% |
| 13 | Philadelphia Phillies | 69-74 | -2.2% |
| 14 | Texas Rangers | 70-74 | -2.6% |
| 15 | San Diego Padres | 70-73 | -5.3% |
| 16 | Detroit Tigers | 71-72 | -5.7% |
| 17 | Cleveland Guardians | 72-72 | -5.8% |
| 18 | Baltimore Orioles | 73-71 | -7.8% |
| 19 | Colorado Rockies | 74-69 | -8.6% |
| 20 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 74-70 | -9.5% |
| 21 | Boston Red Sox | 75-69 | -10.1% |
| 22 | Atlanta Braves | 75-68 | -10.6% |
| 23 | Tampa Bay Rays | 75-68 | -10.8% |
| 24 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 76-68 | -10.8% |
| 25 | St. Louis Cardinals | 77-67 | -12.1% |
| 26 | Chicago White Sox | 77-66 | -12.7% |
| 27 | Milwaukee Brewers | 78-66 | -13.8% |
| 28 | Washington Nationals | 80-65 | -15.6% |
| 29 | Minnesota Twins | 79-64 | -15.8% |
| 30 | Chicago Cubs | 82-62 | -19.6% |
First 5 Innings Run Line Picks
First-5 markets settle after five innings, isolating the starting pitchers and removing bullpen and late-inning noise. Washington has been the standout at 90-55, with St. Louis and Tampa Bay close behind.
| Rank | Team | ATS Record | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Nationals | 90-55 | +28.30u | +16.5% |
| 2 | St. Louis Cardinals | 85-59 | +14.85u | +8.5% |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Rays | 81-62 | +10.50u | +6.2% |
| 4 | Atlanta Braves | 79-64 | +8.70u | +5.2% |
| 5 | Detroit Tigers | 79-63 | +8.10u | +4.7% |
| 6 | Los Angeles Angels | 79-64 | +5.15u | +3.0% |
| 7 | Chicago White Sox | 77-66 | +1.35u | +0.8% |
| 8 | Milwaukee Brewers | 74-69 | -1.85u | -1.1% |
| 9 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 76-68 | -2.45u | -1.4% |
| 10 | San Diego Padres | 75-68 | -4.90u | -2.8% |
| 11 | Minnesota Twins | 74-69 | -5.05u | -2.9% |
| 12 | Cleveland Guardians | 71-73 | -9.85u | -5.9% |
| 13 | Cincinnati Reds | 73-70 | -10.60u | -6.1% |
| 14 | San Francisco Giants | 73-71 | -11.35u | -6.5% |
| 15 | Miami Marlins | 73-71 | -11.55u | -6.6% |
| 16 | Kansas City Royals | 71-73 | -13.00u | -7.5% |
| 17 | Philadelphia Phillies | 69-74 | -14.05u | -8.4% |
| 18 | Baltimore Orioles | 69-75 | -16.35u | -9.6% |
| 19 | New York Yankees | 68-75 | -16.65u | -10.0% |
| 20 | Colorado Rockies | 67-75 | -16.45u | -10.0% |
| 21 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 67-76 | -20.65u | -12.1% |
| 22 | Chicago Cubs | 67-77 | -20.60u | -12.2% |
| 23 | Boston Red Sox | 66-78 | -20.75u | -12.4% |
| 24 | Toronto Blue Jays | 67-77 | -22.00u | -12.9% |
| 25 | Athletics | 66-78 | -22.20u | -13.3% |
| 26 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 66-77 | -24.15u | -14.1% |
| 27 | New York Mets | 65-78 | -24.05u | -14.2% |
| 28 | Texas Rangers | 63-81 | -29.15u | -17.1% |
| 29 | Seattle Mariners | 61-83 | -33.00u | -19.6% |
| 30 | Houston Astros | 61-83 | -35.55u | -20.5% |
First 5 Innings Totals Picks (Over / Under)
The first-5 total tracks only the runs scored through five innings. Texas, Minnesota, and the Chicago Cubs lead the Over side, while Toronto and San Diego flip to strong Under numbers.
Best First-5 Over Plays
| Rank | Team | Over Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas Rangers | 80-59 | +7.5% |
| 2 | Minnesota Twins | 79-58 | +7.2% |
| 3 | Chicago Cubs | 80-62 | +5.8% |
| 4 | Washington Nationals | 77-61 | +4.3% |
| 5 | Houston Astros | 75-59 | +4.2% |
| 6 | Chicago White Sox | 74-63 | +0.5% |
| 7 | Atlanta Braves | 73-64 | -0.5% |
| 8 | Los Angeles Angels | 73-65 | -0.8% |
| 9 | Milwaukee Brewers | 73-65 | -1.1% |
| 10 | Detroit Tigers | 69-66 | -3.5% |
| 11 | New York Mets | 72-68 | -3.8% |
| 12 | Colorado Rockies | 69-66 | -4.2% |
| 13 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 71-68 | -4.4% |
| 14 | Philadelphia Phillies | 70-68 | -4.5% |
| 15 | Boston Red Sox | 69-68 | -5.5% |
| 16 | San Francisco Giants | 69-69 | -6.2% |
| 17 | Athletics | 68-70 | -6.4% |
| 18 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 68-69 | -6.9% |
| 19 | Miami Marlins | 69-71 | -7.3% |
| 20 | Baltimore Orioles | 65-68 | -8.0% |
| 21 | Seattle Mariners | 66-69 | -8.4% |
| 22 | Cincinnati Reds | 67-72 | -9.4% |
| 23 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 67-73 | -10.1% |
| 24 | Kansas City Royals | 67-75 | -10.7% |
| 25 | Tampa Bay Rays | 63-72 | -11.6% |
| 26 | Cleveland Guardians | 60-74 | -15.2% |
| 27 | St. Louis Cardinals | 60-76 | -17.0% |
| 28 | New York Yankees | 59-77 | -18.1% |
| 29 | San Diego Padres | 56-82 | -24.0% |
| 30 | Toronto Blue Jays | 56-83 | -24.2% |
Best First-5 Under Plays
| Rank | Team | Under Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toronto Blue Jays | 56-83 | +12.0% |
| 2 | San Diego Padres | 56-82 | +11.1% |
| 3 | New York Yankees | 59-77 | +5.5% |
| 4 | St. Louis Cardinals | 60-76 | +4.3% |
| 5 | Cleveland Guardians | 60-74 | +3.6% |
| 6 | Tampa Bay Rays | 63-72 | -0.1% |
| 7 | Kansas City Royals | 67-75 | -0.4% |
| 8 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 67-73 | -1.8% |
| 9 | Cincinnati Reds | 67-72 | -2.7% |
| 10 | Baltimore Orioles | 65-68 | -3.3% |
| 11 | Seattle Mariners | 66-69 | -3.5% |
| 12 | Athletics | 68-70 | -4.6% |
| 13 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 68-69 | -4.6% |
| 14 | Miami Marlins | 69-71 | -5.1% |
| 15 | San Francisco Giants | 69-69 | -5.3% |
| 16 | Boston Red Sox | 69-68 | -6.8% |
| 17 | Colorado Rockies | 69-66 | -7.4% |
| 18 | Philadelphia Phillies | 70-68 | -8.2% |
| 19 | Detroit Tigers | 69-66 | -8.4% |
| 20 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 71-68 | -8.6% |
| 21 | New York Mets | 72-68 | -9.3% |
| 22 | Los Angeles Angels | 73-65 | -10.7% |
| 23 | Milwaukee Brewers | 73-65 | -11.0% |
| 24 | Atlanta Braves | 73-64 | -11.5% |
| 25 | Chicago White Sox | 74-63 | -12.5% |
| 26 | Houston Astros | 75-59 | -15.4% |
| 27 | Washington Nationals | 77-61 | -16.4% |
| 28 | Chicago Cubs | 80-62 | -18.5% |
| 29 | Minnesota Twins | 79-58 | -19.5% |
| 30 | Texas Rangers | 80-59 | -19.9% |
Trends to Fade
Four teams have lost money across the board and belong on the other side of your best bets: the Seattle Mariners (run line minus 18.4 percent, moneyline minus 15.7 percent), the Los Angeles Angels (moneyline minus 16.8 percent), the New York Mets (moneyline minus 15.2 percent), and the Philadelphia Phillies (run line minus 16.4 percent). Note that the Angels are a moneyline fade but lead the league's full-game and team-total Unders, so those angles pair rather than conflict.
Methodology
Every market treats each qualifying game as a flat 1-unit wager settled at the closing line. A win is a cover, a straight-up win, or an Over or Under, depending on the market. Units is the cumulative profit or loss; ROI is units divided by total bets, shown as a percentage. Home and away splits apply the same method to that subset of games. Flat staking keeps all 30 teams on equal footing so a handful of heavy favorites or longshots cannot distort the rankings.
For more MLB picks, parlays, and best bets, visit MLB Picks.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which MLB team has the best run line trend in 2026?
The Tampa Bay Rays lead the league against the run line at 75-65, returning 12.0 percent on flat 1-unit stakes. The Milwaukee Brewers are second at 75-69 (plus 9.7 percent), with Atlanta third, making all three reliable cover teams this season.
Which teams should bettors fade right now?
The Seattle Mariners are the worst run-line team in baseball at 55-88 (minus 18.4 percent), and the Los Angeles Angels have been the biggest moneyline drain at 54-89 (minus 16.8 percent). The Angels are negative on the moneyline and lean Under across the board, so their profile is one to bet against straight up.
What is the difference between the run line and the moneyline?
The moneyline is a straight-up bet on who wins. The run line applies a 1.5-run spread — the favorite must win by two or more, or the underdog must lose by one or win outright. Because so many MLB games are decided by a single run, run-line results often diverge sharply from moneyline records.
Which teams are the strongest Over plays?
The Minnesota Twins top the full-game Over board at 77-57 (plus 8.4 percent), with the Chicago White Sox and Chicago Cubs close behind. The Chicago Cubs and Washington lead the team-total Overs, so those lineups have cleared the number from a different angle.
Which teams are the best Under plays?
The Los Angeles Angels lead full-game Unders at 58-82 (plus 11.8 percent), with Arizona and the New York Yankees close behind. On team totals, the Los Angeles Angels are the strongest Under side at plus 13.3 percent, followed by the New York Mets.
Do first-5-innings trends differ from full-game trends?
Yes. The first-5 markets isolate the starting pitchers and remove bullpen and late-inning scoring. Washington leads the F5 run line at 90-55, while Toronto and San Diego flip to strong F5 Under sides even though their full-game numbers look different.
How often are these trends updated?
These tables reflect the 2026 season through September 8 and are refreshed as new results come in. Records and ROI move daily during the season, so check back before locking in picks.
How is ROI calculated?
Every wager is treated as a flat 1-unit stake at the closing line. Units is the running profit or loss across all of a team's games; ROI is that unit total divided by the number of bets, expressed as a percentage. A positive ROI means backing that side blindly all season would have turned a profit.
How We Use These Trends
Season-long ROI tables are a starting point, not a finished play. A team covering the run line at a strong clip tells you the market has been slow to adjust to how it wins games — but the matchup, the starting pitcher, and the closing number still decide each night. We treat these rankings as a filter: they surface which sides the market has mispriced across a full season, and from there the daily picks come down to the specific game in front of us.
21+. Please play responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Odds and records reflect the 2026 MLB season through September 8, 2026 and are subject to change.
