Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos Picks & Prediction for Tuesday, February 17, 2026

By: Thomas Pemberton Published 02/17/2026, 01:15 AM ET

The Air Force Falcons head to New Mexico on Tuesday to take on the Lobos in this Mountain West Conference Matchup. Air Force is hoping to snap their 18 game losing streak. While New Mexico is coming off of a 70-64 win against Grand Canyon in their last game played. Be sure to check out my prediction for this Air Force vs New Mexico matchup or find all of our expert's Free College Basketball Picks Here.

Falcons Are In Trouble

The Air Force Falcons are in jeopardy of losing their 19th straight game. The Falcons are 3-22 on the season with a 0-9 road record. Air Force lost their 18th straight game against Fresno State 93-63 in their last game played. Lucas Hobin led the Falcons in the loss with 26 points. Hobin leads Air Force on the season with 11.9 points scored per game. The Falcons have just three players averaging double digit points scored per game. Air Force is scoring 61.4 points per game with 6.8 made three pointers. The Falcons got blown out by the Lobos 91-49 in their last meeting back in January. Air Force has struggled on both ends of the court all season.

Lobos Are Looking Tough

The New Mexico Lobos are 19-6 on the season. New Mexico has won seven of their last ten games and are coming off of a win against Grand Canyon. Jake Hall led the Lobos in the win with 23 points. Hall leads New Mexico on the season with 15.8 points scored per game. The Lobos have four players scoring double digit points per game. The Lobos are an impressive 12-2 on their home court. New Mexico is scoring 80.8 points per game with 9.5 made three pointers. The Lobos play an aggressive style of defense and average 7.8 steals per game. New Mexico is the clear better team in this matchup.

Air Force vs New Mexico Spread Pick

New Mexico Lobos -27.5

The New Mexico Lobos are heavy -27.5 home favorites. The Lobos beat the Falcons by 42 points last month. New Mexico is 13-11 against the spread on the season. While Air Force has covered the spread in just eight games. Watch for New Mexico to dominate on their home court.

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Air Force vs New Mexico Over/Under Pick

UNDER 146.5

Air Force cannot be trusted to put up a lot of points. The Falcons have scored over 65 points just once in their last four games. New Mexico will find their rhythm and be the better team on their home court. Watch for the Lobos to play most of their bench in the second half of this game.

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