Air Force Falcons vs San Diego State Aztecs Picks & Predictions — Wednesday, December 17, 2025

By: Kim Smith Published 12/17/2025, 02:25 AM ET

Mountain West play opens in San Diego as San Diego State hosts Air Force at Viejas Arena. This matchup pits one of the league’s most physical programs against an Air Force team that has struggled mightily away from Colorado Springs. The line is heavy, but the matchup strongly favors the Aztecs in several key areas. Get ready for the entire college season with our free college basketball picks.

Air Force Falcons Breakdown

Air Force enters at 3–8 and is riding a four-game losing streak. Offensively, the Falcons average just 66.2 points per game, one of the lowest outputs in the Mountain West, and they lack perimeter shooting consistency.

Caleb Walker (12.7 PPG) has been efficient inside (71.8% FG), but Air Force struggles to generate offense outside the paint and is a poor free-throw shooting team overall. Defensively, the Falcons allow 73.5 PPG and are frequently overpowered on the glass and in transition.

Road games have been particularly rough, and Air Force has failed to stay competitive against teams with size and athleticism advantages.

Subscribe Now

I authorize Picks And Parlays to send me promotional emails

I understand that I can unsubscribe at any time. I have read and accepted the Terms & Conditions and Privacy Policy. I consent that Picks And Parlays may use third-party services to process my data.

Terms & Conditions

San Diego State Aztecs Breakdown

San Diego State comes in at 5–3 and has won two straight, averaging 81.9 PPG while forcing turnovers at a high rate. The Aztecs are built to punish teams like Air Force with pressure defense, rebounding, and depth.

BJ Davis (12.6 PPG) leads a balanced scoring attack and is nearly automatic at the line (97.1% FT). SDSU’s defense forces mistakes, generates steals (8.4 per game), and controls tempo — especially at home, where they traditionally dominate.

The Aztecs also hold a clear rebounding edge and should control the paint on both ends.

Key Matchups to Watch

SDSU pressure defense vs Air Force ball handling
Rebounding margin — big edge to the Aztecs
Pace — slower, half-court style favors San Diego State

Prediction & Best Bets

This is a difficult matchup for Air Force stylistically. San Diego State’s physicality, defense, and home-court edge point toward a lopsided result. The only real question is margin. Betting on sports and on San Diego State is easy, but even easier if you use the best sportsbooks. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Air Force with the Novig promo code. Make sure when you place your bet on Air Force vs San Diego State you are using the BetMGM bonus code.

Best Pick: San Diego State Aztecs -23.5

Lean: Under 139.5

Final Score Prediction: San Diego State 78, Air Force 52

Betting on College Basketball?

Join Picks and Parlays premium for free and get a free $30 coupon with code FREE30
Get started and wager on college hoops today with our favorite online sportsbooks
Claim a CBB betting bonus offer with the best sportsbook promos

Min. Deposit $5

Cashable No

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US) 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Promotional offers not available in Mississippi, New York, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.

Requirement New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days. (Up to $1,000 Bet Reset Tokens)

Cashable No

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET. Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT). Hope is here. GamblingHelplineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). Call 1-877-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). 21+ (18+ DC, IA, KY, WV) only. New users only or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Casino, First online real money wager only. $5 first deposit required. Min $5 wager required for 5 consecutive days. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable Bet Reset tokens. Refund from token issued as nonwithdrawable bonus bet that expire 7 days after receipt. Max refund $200 per day. Restrictions apply, including token expiration. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook. Call 1-877-770-7867 (LA).

Min. Deposit $5

Odds Requirements -500

Cashable No

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/NH/PR/WY). Void in CAN. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $200 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 7/19/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.