Alabama Crimson Tide at Ole Miss Rebels, Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, February 11, 2026
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The Alabama Crimson Tide (16-7, 6-4 SEC) travel to Oxford, MS to take on the Ole Miss Rebels (11-12, 3-7 SEC) on Wednesday, February 11, 2026, at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss. Get in on the action with our free NCAAB picks.
Alabama Crimson Tide Analysis
Alabama ranks among the league’s most explosive offenses, averaging 91.8 points per game on 46% shooting, and playing an uptempo style that spreads scoring responsibility across multiple players. The Tide also rebound effectively and share the ball well, with 16.4 assists per game. Defensively, they allow around 83.4 points per contest, reflecting a fast-paced game script that often keeps scores high.
Team Overview and Metrics
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PPG: 91.8
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FG%: 46%
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Rebounds: 37.5 RPG
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Assists: 16.4 APG
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Points Allowed: 83.4
Strengths
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Labaron Philon Jr. (G): Leads the Tide at 21.5 PPG and 4.9 APG, creating offense for himself and others.
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Balanced scoring: Secondary scoring from Amari Allen (7.4 RPG) and others keeps defenses honest.
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Rebounding advantage: Alabama’s boards (37.5 RPG) give it extra possessions and second-chance opportunities.
Weaknesses
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Defense vs high-efficiency teams: Allowing 83.4 PPG makes them susceptible to run-and-gun opponents.
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Turnovers: Around 9.7 per game, which can fuel transition buckets for aggressive defenders.
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Tempo reliance: Struggles when opponents control pace and limit possessions.
Ole Miss Rebels Analysis
Ole Miss enters this game with an 11-12 record and has struggled to find consistency in SEC play. The Rebels average 73.9 points per game, shoot 44% from the field, and grab about 34.7 rebounds per contest. Defensively, they allow 72.1 PPG, indicating that they can stay competitive if they control tempo and execute efficiently.
Team Overview and Metrics
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PPG: 73.9
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FG%: 44%
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Rebounds: 34.7 RPG
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Assists: 12.9 APG
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Points Allowed: 72.1
Strengths
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A.J. Storr (G): Ole Miss’ go-to scorer at 13.7 PPG, capable of getting hot and changing momentum.
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Home familiarity: Rebels are generally more comfortable in Oxford and can tighten defense in front of their crowd.
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Defense efficiency: Allowing 72.1 PPG suggests they can limit opponents when disciplined.
Weaknesses
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Offensive limitations: The Rebels’ scoring is well below Alabama’s attack.
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Depth concerns: Bench scoring and secondary creation are inconsistent.
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Recent form: Ole Miss has lost multiple games recently, including to Texas and Tennessee.
Standout Players and Key Matchups
Alabama
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Labaron Philon Jr. (G): Primary scoring engine and facilitator.
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Amari Allen (F): Contributor on the boards and in the mid-range game.
Ole Miss
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A.J. Storr (G): Team’s leading scorer; must be efficient to keep Ole Miss competitive.
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Malik Dia (F): Physical presence who can impact rebounding and scoring when involved.
Alabama vs Ole Miss Prediction Reasoning
Alabama’s explosive offense and scoring balance give it a clear advantage over an Ole Miss team that struggles to generate points and has been inconsistent in SEC play. Ole Miss can stay close early by controlling tempo and protecting the ball, but sustained offensive pressure from the Tide is likely to tilt the game over 40 minutes.
Expect Alabama to use its depth and scoring versatility to open a lead in the second half.
Final Score Projection: Alabama 88, Ole Miss 75
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Best Picks
- Alabama -7.5
- Under 165.5 total points
