Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 7, 2026
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Alabama and Auburn meet Saturday at 4:00 PM ET at Neville Arena in Auburn, Alabama, with ESPN2 carrying the broadcast. Auburn opened as a small favorite and sits at -1.5 with a -125 moneyline, while Alabama is +105, and the total is a hefty 176.5. Alabama comes in 15-7 overall and 5-4 in the SEC, and Auburn is 14-8 overall and also 5-4 in conference play. Both teams have been trading punches lately, so this one looks like a tight rivalry game where a couple possessions decide it. Slam dunk your bets with our College Basketball picks.
Alabama Preview
Alabama’s scoring profile is the headline: 91.6 points per game on 45% shooting, with 16.4 assists per contest. Labaron Philon Jr. leads the way at 21.4 points and 4.9 assists per game, and Aden Holloway adds 17.2 points while hitting 43.8% from three. The Tide have also been active around the rim with 5.8 blocks per game, and Aiden Sherrell is a big part of that at 2.4 blocks per game. The catch is the other end: Alabama allows 83.0 points per game, and the last five included a 100-97 win over Texas A&M and a 100-77 loss at Florida, so the range of outcomes is wide when the tempo ramps up.
Auburn Preview
Auburn is more balanced and a little more physical by the numbers. The Tigers score 84.4 per game and allow 77.6, with a better overall field goal mark at 47%. Keyshawn Hall has been the engine at 20.9 points and 7.2 rebounds per game while shooting 41.1% from three, and Kevin Overton chips in 12.4 points while leading the team in steals at 1.5 per game. Auburn’s last five is 4-1, with road wins at Florida (76-67) and Ole Miss (78-66), before a 77-69 loss at Tennessee, which is pretty solid form heading home.
Alabama vs Auburn Prediction
My pick is Auburn -1.5, with the under 176.5 as the stronger angle. Alabama’s scoring means plenty of potential points from the Tide, but Auburn’s 77.6 points allowed per game and the Tigers’ recent results point to a game that can tighten up late, especially if Auburn controls the glass and forces poor shot selection. Auburn also has the cleaner defensive profile overall, and the market is basically calling this a one-possession game, which fits Auburn’s recent consistency. Prediction: Auburn 88, Alabama 84.
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Best Picks: Auburn -1.5; Under 176.5; Auburn moneyline (-125) for a safer single or parlay leg.
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