Alcorn State at Iowa State — Picks & Prediction for Wednesday, December 3, 2025
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The Alcorn State Braves travel to Ames to take on the Iowa State Cyclones on Wednesday, December 3, 2025. Get in on the action with our free college basketball picks.
Alcorn State Braves Analysis
Alcorn State has had a difficult stretch to begin 2025–26 but remains determined. Their early-season numbers paint a tough picture yet expose a few areas where, if they execute, they could keep this from being a blowout.
Team Metrics & Context
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They average 65.4 PPG, while allowing 87.7 PPG — a large negative scoring margin.
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Their 3-point shooting appears as a relative strength: hitting about 38.5% from distance, and averaging over 8 made threes per game.
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On the downside their rebounding has been a struggle — about 27.9 rebounds per game vs 39.3 allowed.
Strengths
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Outside shooting & spacing: Their 3-point percentages are solid — if their shooters get hot, they could stretch the defense and create scoring bursts.
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Effort + energy: On nights they move the ball well and hit shots, they can generate some noise even against top teams.
Weaknesses / Risks
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Interior size & defense: Given their rebounding issues and interior defense struggles, they likely will have difficulty containing Iowa State’s size and athleticism.
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Inconsistent offense: Their overall field-goal percentage and scoring output have been subpar — if threes don’t fall they may struggle to generate points.
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Turnovers & tempo control: Against a fast, disciplined Big 12 team, mistakes and poor transition defense could be costly.
Iowa State Cyclones Analysis
Iowa State enters this matchup as a top-10 team nationally, undefeated, full of confidence and playing at home.
Team Metrics & Context
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Record: 7–0.
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Offensive firepower: They average 91.1 PPG, with a balanced attack, strong shooting efficiency, and depth at multiple positions.
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Balanced roster: Stars like Tamin Lipsey and Milan Momcilovic lead the scoring — but multiple contributors give them flexibility and resilience.
Strengths
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Athleticism + depth: Their size, speed, and rotation depth give them matchup advantages at nearly every position.
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Home-court energy + momentum: Unbeaten record and fan support should boost their confidence and execution.
Risks / Challenges
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Complacency risk: As heavy favorites, risk of underestimating a struggling opponent.
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Potential exasperation vs pace: If Alcorn State plays slow or clogs passing lanes, ISU might have to take extra care with ball movement and composure.
Standout Players & Key Matchups
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Alcorn State:
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Shane Lancaster — their most consistent scorer and a primary 3-point threat. If he gets hot from deep, Braves might hang around.
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Iowa State:
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Tamin Lipsey and Milan Momcilovic — both dangerous scorers capable of getting to the rim or hitting jumpers, their play sets tone for ISU’s offense.
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Front-court rotation and defenders — important for controlling boards and limiting Alcorn’s transition chances.
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Alcorn State vs Iowa State Prediction Reasoning
Iowa State’s mix of size, athleticism, scoring balance and home environment gives them a major edge. Alcorn State might get a few bright scoring bursts, but controlling defensive glass and pace will likely be too much for them to overcome. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Alcorn State with the Thrillz promo code. Make the most of your bets on Iowa State by using the sportsbook promos. Make sure when you place your Alcorn State vs Iowa State bet you are using the bet365 bonus code.
Final Score Projection:
Iowa State 98, Alcorn State 54
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Best Picks
- Iowa State -41.5
- Over 151.5 total points
