Arizona State Sun Devils at Houston Cougars, Picks and Prediction for Sunday, January 18, 2026

By: Garrett Beaverson Published 01/18/2026, 01:30 AM ET
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The Arizona State Sun Devils travel to Texas to face the Houston Cougars on Sunday, January 18, 2026, at Fertitta Center in Houston. Get in on the action with our free NCAAB picks.

Arizona State Sun Devils Analysis

Arizona State has been led by veteran guard Maurice Odum, who scores around 16 points and dishes 6 assists per game, anchoring the offense with creation and playmaking. Forward Santiago Trouet provides contributions in rebounds (5.8 RPG) and hustle, while Massamba Diop offers rim protection with blocks and interior presence. ASU averages roughly 80.8 points per game against Big 12 competition.

Team Overview and Metrics

  • PPG: 80.8

  • FG%: 45.9%

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  • Rebounds: 34.2 RPG

  • Assists: 14.1 APG

Strengths

  • Balanced offense: Multiple contributors including Odum and Anthony Johnson keep defenses honest.

  • Guard play: Odum’s creation and scoring ability allows ASU to generate quality possessions.

  • Three-point threat: When shooting well from deep, Arizona State stretches defenses and opens driving lanes.

Weaknesses

  • Defensive consistency: ASU allows Big 12 offenses to get efficient shots, especially against elite competition.

  • Rebounding on the road: Struggles on the glass can lead to extra possessions for opponents.

  • Turnovers under pressure: Houston’s defense forces miscues that can swing run momentum.

Houston Cougars Analysis

Houston has been among the nation’s elite teams this season, especially defensively under Coach Kelvin Sampson. The Cougars lead college basketball in points allowed (59.3 per game) and field-goal percentage defense (39.1% opponents’ shooting), suffocating opponents with pressure and physical interior play. Houston also boasts one of the longest active home winning streaks, combining crowd energy with discipline.

Team Overview and Metrics

  • Record: 16-1 (4-0 Big 12)

  • Points allowed: 59.3 per game (Top nationally)

  • Opponent FG%: 39.1%

  • Balanced scoring: Led by Emanuel Sharp, Milos Uzan, and Kingston Flemings

Houston’s offensive efficiency complements its defense; the Cougars score in the mid-70s, share the ball well, and take care of possessions.

Strengths

  • Elite defense: Houston routinely holds opponents under their scoring averages.

  • Rebounding and physicality: Cougars control the glass and limit second chances.

  • Home court dominance: A long winning streak at Fertitta Center fuels confidence.

Weaknesses

  • Offensive droughts: Against elite defensive teams, Houston can stall if threes aren’t falling.

  • Free-throw variance: Missed opportunities can keep games tighter than needed.

Arizona State vs Houston Prediction Reasoning

Houston’s defense presents a significant hurdle for Arizona State’s offense. While the Sun Devils have capable scorers and can maintain possessions, sustaining efficiency against Houston’s pressure and rebounding presence for 40 minutes is extremely difficult.

Expect Houston’s physicality and disciplined execution to carry them to a convincing home win.

Final Score Projection: Houston 79, Arizona State 60

Best Picks

  • Houston -16.5
  • Under 145.5 total points

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