Arkansas State Red Wolves at Southern Miss Golden Eagles, Picks and Prediction for Saturday, December 20, 2025

By: Garrett Beaverson Published 12/20/2025, 09:35 AM ET
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The Arkansas State Red Wolves travel to Hattiesburg, Mississippi, to face the Southern Miss Golden Eagles on Saturday, December 20, 2025, at Reed Green Coliseum. Get in on the action with our free NCAAB picks.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Analysis

Arkansas State enters this game with a strong offensive identity, averaging 81.1 points per game and showing balance across its lineup. They’ve collected quality non-conference wins and rank near the top of the Sun Belt in scoring and rebounding.

Team Overview and Metrics The Red Wolves are averaging 81.1 PPG, shooting about 45.4% from the field, and making 7.9 three-pointers per game. They also shoot 78.0% from the free throw line, giving them a reliable scoring attack across multiple areas.

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Strengths

  • Balanced offense: Multiple contributors — led by Matt Hayman (10.8 ppg), TJ Caldwell (10.7 ppg), and Chandler Jackson (10.3 ppg) — give Arkansas State scoring diversity.

  • Rebounding: Jalen Hampton anchors the boards with 6.6 rebounds per game, helping fuel second-chance opportunities.

  • Free throw efficiency: Strong free throw shooting helps the Red Wolves convert in close games.

Weaknesses

  • Three-point shooting: Arkansas State’s 30.5% from beyond the arc is below average, which can stagnate spacing when shots aren’t falling.

  • Defensive consistency: Allowing 78.6 points per game puts pressure on the offense to outscore opponents.

  • Turnovers in key moments: In close road games, turnovers have been costly.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Analysis

Southern Miss counters with a balanced offensive attack fueled by its leading scorer and strong rebounding presence. The Golden Eagles have shown they can compete at home and are capable of slowing pace when needed.

Team Overview and Metrics Southern Miss averages around 17.1 PPG from Tylik Weeks, with Isaac Taveras (6.7 rpg) pulling down rebounds and Dylan Brumfield (3.3 apg) facilitating. The Golden Eagles aim to control the paint and capitalize on offensive boards.

Strengths

  • Primary scorer: Tylik Weeks leads the Golden Eagles with about 17+ points per game, giving them a go-to offensive option.

  • Rebounding: Isaac Taveras contributes on both ends of the floor, grabbing rebounds and creating second opportunities.

  • Home court comfort: Reed Green Coliseum has proven a tougher environment for Sun Belt foes.

Weaknesses

  • Supporting scoring depth: If Weeks is contained, Southern Miss can struggle to find consistent offense.

  • Field goal efficiency: Shooting percentages fluctuate, especially on the road historically.

  • Turnovers under pressure: Against high-tempo teams, ball security can become an issue.

Standout Players and Key Matchups

Arkansas State

  • Matt Hayman: Balanced scoring and perimeter threat.

  • TJ Caldwell & Chandler Jackson: Playmakers capable of creating shots and hitting perimeter looks.

Southern Miss

  • Tylik Weeks: Go-to scorer who can take over offensively.

  • Isaac Taveras: Rebounding force and secondary scorer.

Prediction Reasoning

This game projects as a moderately high-scoring Sun Belt battle. Arkansas State’s balanced offense and efficiency from the free throw line give them an edge, especially if three-point shooting improves even modestly. Southern Miss, anchored by Weeks and Taveras, has the pieces to keep this close — particularly at home — but depth and offensive balance could determine the outcome.

Final Score Projection: Arkansas State 78, Southern Miss 73

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