Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, February 4, 2026

By: Jake Allman Published 02/04/2026, 12:40 AM ET

Arkansas State heads to Conway for a key Sun Belt matchup against Coastal Carolina on Wednesday night at the HTC Center, with tip-off set for 7:00 PM Eastern Time on ESPN+. Both teams sit in the middle of the conference standings, but momentum is pulling them in different directions. Coastal Carolina has won four of the last five games, while Arkansas State has dropped four of the last five and is searching for stability before the final stretch of conference play. Slam dunk your bets with our College Basketball picks.

Arkansas State Preview

Arkansas State enters at 13-10 overall and 5-6 in Sun Belt action, leaning heavily on offensive production to stay competitive. The Red Wolves average 81.5 points per game, one of the highest marks in the conference, and move the ball well averaging 15.3 assists per contest. Chandler Jackson runs the offense efficiently, averaging 4.3 assists, while Christian Harmon has provided a steady scoring punch over the last ten games.

The recent results have not matched the scoring output. Arkansas State has allowed nearly 79 points per game and was beaten by Marshall, Old Dominion, and Georgia State in tight but costly losses. Rebounding remains a strength, led by Jalen Hampton’s work on the glass, but turnovers and late-game execution have consistently tilted close games the wrong way. Road performances have been especially troublesome, which matters in a tough Sun Belt environment.

Coastal Carolina Preview

Coastal Carolina comes in at 14-10 overall and 7-5 in conference play, with confidence growing after an 83-79 road win at UL Monroe. The Chanticleers average 73.2 points per game while allowing just 71.7, a steadier profile than Arkansas State on both ends of the floor. Joshua Beadle leads the scoring at 16.3 points per game and also contributes as a playmaker, giving Coastal Carolina balance in the half-court.

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AJ Dancier’s recent scoring surge adds another contributor to the offense, especially from beyond the arc, where Coastal Carolina averages 8.8 made three-pointers per game. Home court has been a real advantage, with Coastal Carolina winning six of nine games in Conway. The Chanticleers also tend to manage close games well, going 3-1 in contests decided by four points or fewer.

Coastal Carolina vs Arkansas State Prediction

This matchup sets up as a contrast between Arkansas State’s tempo and Coastal Carolina’s control. If Coastal Carolina limits transition chances and forces the Red Wolves into half-court possessions, the edge swings toward the home side.

Prediction: Coastal Carolina 76, Arkansas State 71

Best Pick: Coastal Carolina to win at home, with the Chanticleers controlling pace and closing stronger late.

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