Bellarmine Knights vs Central Arkansas Bears Picks and Predictions for Friday March 6 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/06/2026, 12:25 AM ET
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The Bellarmine Knights take on the Central Arkansas Bears in the ASUN Championship Quarterfinal on Friday March 6, 2026 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Florida. Tip-off is scheduled for 12:00 PM and the game will be broadcast on ESPN+. At the time of this writing the odds were not released for the moneyline, total, or spread. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily predictions and betting analysis from across the college basketball slate.

Bellarmine Entering the Tournament with Offensive Momentum

Bellarmine comes into the ASUN Tournament with a 13-18 overall record and a 7-11 conference mark during the regular season. The Knights have been inconsistent on the road this year but they enter the tournament playing better basketball recently. Bellarmine recently won over Jacksonville, recently won over Austin Peay, recently lost to North Alabama, recently lost to Eastern Kentucky, and recently lost to Lipscomb.

Offensively, the Knights have been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the conference. Bellarmine averages 80.2 points per game while allowing 81.5 points per contest. They also shoot an impressive 52% from the field while averaging 27.9 rebounds and 15.1 assists per game.

One of the key strengths for Bellarmine is their offensive execution. The Knights move the ball well and create scoring opportunities through strong passing, as shown by their assist numbers. If they can maintain their shooting efficiency and limit turnovers, Bellarmine has the potential to make this a competitive tournament matchup.

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Central Arkansas Balanced Attack Leading into the Quarterfinal

Central Arkansas enters this ASUN quarterfinal with a 20-11 overall record and an excellent 15-3 record in conference play. The Bears have been playing strong basketball down the stretch as they recently won over Queens, recently won over Austin Peay, recently lost to Florida Gulf Coast in overtime, recently won over Stetson, and recently won over West Georgia.

The Bears average 80.5 points per game while allowing 74.4 points per contest. Central Arkansas shoots 46% from the field while averaging 36.1 rebounds and 16.3 assists per game, which shows their ability to create scoring opportunities both inside and on the perimeter.

Defensively, Central Arkansas has been strong throughout the season. The Bears average 8.8 steals per game and do a good job forcing opponents into difficult possessions. Their rebounding advantage is also an important factor, as their 36.1 rebounds per game allow them to control the pace and limit second chances for opponents.

Bellarmine vs Central Arkansas Pick

Bellarmine vs Central Arkansas Pick

  • Central Arkansas -4

Central Arkansas has been the more consistent team throughout the season and their overall balance on both ends of the floor gives them an edge in this matchup. Bellarmine can score the basketball efficiently, but they have struggled defensively at times and often allow opponents to stay in games. The Bears have a strong rebounding advantage and they also generate turnovers, which should create extra possessions in a tournament setting.

Bellarmine vs Central Arkansas Total Pick

  • Take the over if the total is set at 154

Both teams have shown the ability to score throughout the season, with each averaging around 80 points per game. Bellarmine plays with a fast pace and shoots the ball efficiently, while Central Arkansas also pushes the tempo when opportunities arise. Because of that, I expect a game where both teams find offensive success and the total trends toward the over.

Final Score Prediction: Central Arkansas 84, Bellarmine 78

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