Boise State Broncos vs San José State Spartans Picks and Predictions for Tuesday January 27 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/27/2026, 01:10 AM ET
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The Boise State Broncos travel to Provident Credit Union Event Center to face the San José State Spartans on Tuesday night, January 27, with tipoff scheduled for 10:00 PM ET. This Mountain West matchup will be played in San Jose, California, and will be televised on MWN. At the time of this writing, the moneyline was not released. The total for this game is set at 139.5 points with both the over and under priced at -110, while Boise State is listed as a 10.5-point road favorite. Before placing any wagers, be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily predictions and betting insights.

Broncos Aim to Stay Hot Away From Home

Boise State enters this matchup with a 12-8 overall record. Over their last five games, the Broncos recently defeated Air Force, Wyoming, and Colorado State, while suffering losses to UNLV in overtime and Utah State. That stretch reflects a team that has been competitive and productive offensively, even when facing difficult road environments.

From a statistical perspective, Boise State is averaging 78.0 points per game while allowing 72.9 points per contest. The Broncos are shooting 44% from the field and pulling down 36.5 rebounds per game. They also average 13.4 assists per game, showing a balanced approach to generating offense.

One area where Boise State stands out is their ability to score efficiently against weaker defensive teams. Their recent 96-point performance against Air Force highlights their ceiling when shots are falling, which could be important against a San José State defense that has struggled at times.

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Spartans Continue to Search for Consistency

San José State comes into this contest with a 6-14 overall record. Over their last five games, the Spartans recently lost to Wyoming, Nevada, UNLV, and Grand Canyon, while picking up a win against Air Force. That stretch shows a team that has struggled to string together positive results, particularly against stronger conference opponents.

Statistically, San José State is averaging 70.3 points per game while allowing 75.7 points per contest. The Spartans are shooting 43% from the field and averaging just 30.9 rebounds per game, often putting them at a disadvantage on the glass. They also average 10.3 assists per game, reflecting limited ball movement and offensive creation.

Rebounding has been a key issue for San José State. Being outworked on the boards consistently makes it difficult for the Spartans to generate second-chance opportunities or limit opponents’ possessions, especially against a team like Boise State that rebounds well.

Boise State Broncos vs San José State Spartans Pick

Boise State Broncos vs San José State Spartans Pick

  • Pick: Boise State -10.5

Boise State holds a clear advantage in scoring efficiency, rebounding, and recent form. San José State’s struggles on the glass and defensive inefficiencies make it difficult to see the Spartans keeping this game within double digits.

Boise State Broncos vs San José State Spartans Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 139.5

I’m taking the over in this matchup because Boise State has shown the ability to push games into higher-scoring territory, while San José State allows over 75 points per game. If the Broncos control tempo, this game should have enough possessions to clear the total.

Final Score Prediction:Boise State Broncos 80, San José State Spartans 68

How To Bet This Matchup

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