California Baptist Lancers vs Utah Valley Wolverines Picks and Predictions for Saturday March 14 2026
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The California Baptist Lancers face the Utah Valley Wolverines in the WAC Tournament Final on Saturday, March 14, 2026, at Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Tip-off is scheduled for 11:59 PM ET with television coverage on ESPN2. Utah Valley is favored by -1.5 with the total set at 138.5, while California Baptist is +105 on the moneyline and Utah Valley is -125. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily predictions and betting insights.
Lancers Riding Offensive Momentum Into WAC Title Game
The California Baptist Lancers enter the championship matchup with a 24-8 overall record and a 13-5 conference record. California Baptist advanced to the WAC Tournament Final after recently winning over Utah Tech 86-72 in the semifinal. In their last five games, the Lancers have recently won over Utah Tech, Southern Utah, Abilene Christian, Tarleton State, and UT Arlington.
California Baptist has averaged 72.9 points per game while allowing 67.8 points per game this season. The Lancers shoot 43% from the field and average 40.2 rebounds and 10.4 assists per game. Defensively they contribute 3.0 blocks and 5.4 steals per game, showing their ability to control the glass and limit scoring opportunities while maintaining a balanced offensive approach.
In their semifinal victory, Dominique Daniels Jr. delivered an explosive performance with 41 points, shooting 15-of-23 from the field and leading the offensive surge in the second half. On the boards, Thomas Ndong led the Lancers with seven rebounds, helping California Baptist win the rebounding battle and maintain control throughout the game. The Lancers also shot 50% from the field and an impressive 53% from three-point range, demonstrating the offensive efficiency that makes them dangerous entering the championship.
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Wolverines Seek Championship Behind Balanced Play
The Utah Valley Wolverines enter the final with a 25-7 overall record and a 14-4 conference record. Utah Valley advanced after recently winning over UT Arlington 67-65 in the semifinal, a tightly contested game that came down to the final possessions. In their last five games, the Wolverines have recently won over UT Arlington, Utah Tech, Southern Utah, Abilene Christian, and Tarleton State.
Utah Valley has averaged 81.2 points per game while allowing 68.6 points per game this season. The Wolverines shoot an efficient 51% from the field and average 36.9 rebounds and 18.9 assists per game. Defensively they contribute 5.6 blocks and 9.6 steals per game, reflecting their ability to protect the rim and apply pressure on opposing ball handlers.
In their semifinal victory over UT Arlington, Jackson Holcombe led Utah Valley with 14 points, helping guide the offense in a defensive battle. On the glass, Trevan Leonhardt led the Wolverines with seven rebounds, providing key possessions that allowed Utah Valley to maintain control late in the game. The Wolverines shot 48% from the field but struggled at the free throw line, converting just 16-of-26 attempts, which nearly allowed UT Arlington to steal the game late.
California Baptist vs Utah Valley Pick
California Baptist vs Utah Valley Spread Pick
- Pick: Utah Valley -1.5
Utah Valley enters this matchup with one of the most efficient offenses in the WAC and has demonstrated consistent balance on both ends of the floor throughout the season. While California Baptist is coming off a strong offensive performance, Utah Valley’s ability to move the ball effectively and create high-percentage shots should allow the Wolverines to control the pace. With their efficiency and defensive pressure, Utah Valley has a strong opportunity to cover the small spread.
California Baptist vs Utah Valley Total Pick
- Pick: Under 138.5
I like the under in this matchup because championship games often tighten up defensively, especially when both teams are familiar with each other from conference play. Utah Valley’s semifinal game finished with only 132 total points, and both teams have shown the ability to slow the pace when games become competitive late. With the pressure of the WAC title and an NCAA tournament bid on the line, I expect a more controlled and defensive game that stays under the total.
Final Score Prediction: Utah Valley 71, California Baptist 66
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