California Golden Bears vs Florida State Seminoles Picks and Predictions for Wednesday March 11 2026
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The California Golden Bears and Florida State Seminoles meet in the T. Rowe Price ACC Tournament 2nd Round on Wednesday at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET with television coverage on ESPN2. Both teams enter the tournament looking to build momentum after solid stretches late in the regular season. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more betting insight and daily selections.
California Bringing a Balanced Attack into the Tournament
The California Golden Bears enter the ACC Tournament with a 21-10 overall record and have been competitive away from home throughout the season. California has recently won over Georgia Tech, SMU, and Stanford while recently losing to Wake Forest and Pitt. That recent stretch shows a team capable of competing against strong opponents and finding ways to win close games.
The Golden Bears average 77.5 points per game while allowing 72.5 points per contest. California shoots 44% from the field, averages 34.6 rebounds per game, and produces 13.8 assists per contest. On defense, the Golden Bears record 3.1 blocks and 6.0 steals per game, giving them a balanced defensive profile that can limit scoring runs.
One of California’s biggest strengths entering this matchup is its ability to control pace while maintaining offensive balance. The Golden Bears do not rely heavily on one style of play, and their defensive efficiency allows them to remain competitive even when games slow down. If California controls the tempo and limits turnovers, it could dictate the rhythm of this matchup.
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Florida State Riding Momentum into the ACC Tournament
The Florida State Seminoles enter the tournament with a 17-14 overall record and have played well away from home in recent games. Florida State has recently won over SMU, Pitt, Georgia Tech, and Clemson while recently losing to Miami. That strong run of wins gives the Seminoles confidence entering tournament play.
The Seminoles average 79.9 points per game while allowing 77.5 points per contest. Florida State shoots 43% from the field, averages 36.0 rebounds per game, and produces 14.3 assists per contest. Defensively, the Seminoles record 3.9 blocks and 7.8 steals per game, showing their ability to apply defensive pressure and force turnovers.
Florida State’s biggest advantage in this matchup is its recent momentum. The Seminoles have been playing some of their best basketball late in the season, particularly with their ability to generate turnovers and create transition scoring opportunities. If Florida State can maintain that defensive intensity, it could put pressure on California’s offense.
California Golden Bears vs Florida State Seminoles Pick
California Golden Bears vs Florida State Seminoles Pick
- Pick: California Golden Bears Moneyline
California enters this matchup with the stronger overall record and a more balanced statistical profile on both ends of the floor. The Golden Bears have been more consistent defensively than Florida State and have shown the ability to win close games throughout the season. If California controls the pace and limits turnovers, it should have the edge in this tournament matchup.
California Golden Bears vs Florida State Seminoles Total Pick
- Pick: Over if the total is set at 150.5
I like the over in this matchup because both teams average close to or above 78 points per game and have been involved in several games that pushed into the high-scoring range. Florida State’s aggressive defense can create transition opportunities, and California has the offensive efficiency to contribute plenty of points as well.
Final Score Prediction: California Golden Bears 79, Florida State Seminoles 75
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