Dayton Flyers vs Saint Louis Billikens Picks and Predictions for Saturday March 14 2026
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The Dayton Flyers face the Saint Louis Billikens in the Atlantic 10 Championship Semifinal on Saturday, March 14, 2026, at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Tip-off is scheduled for 1:00 PM ET with television coverage on CBSSN. According to DraftKings, Saint Louis is favored by -5.5 with the total set at 148.5, while Dayton is +200 on the moneyline and Saint Louis is -245. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily betting insights and predictions.
Flyers Grinding Through the Tournament
The Dayton Flyers enter the Atlantic 10 Tournament semifinal with a 22-10 overall record and a 12-6 conference record. Dayton advanced to this round after recently winning over Saint Bonaventure 68-63 in the quarterfinal round. The Flyers have recently won over Saint Bonaventure, Richmond, George Washington, and Saint Louis while recently losing to VCU in their last five games.
Dayton has been a balanced team throughout the season, averaging 75.1 points per game while allowing 69.9 points per game. The Flyers shoot 45% from the field and average 32.5 rebounds and 14.4 assists per game. Defensively they contribute 4.1 blocks and 8.5 steals per game, showing their ability to pressure opposing offenses and create turnovers.
In their quarterfinal win over Saint Bonaventure, Dayton leaned on Javon Bennett, who led the Flyers with 27 points while shooting efficiently from the field. On the boards, Amaël L'Etang led Dayton with 12 rebounds, helping the Flyers control the glass and limit second chances for Saint Bonaventure. Dayton also converted 22 free throws in that game, highlighting their ability to capitalize on opportunities at the line in tournament play.
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Billikens Bring Elite Offense Into Semifinal
The Saint Louis Billikens enter the semifinal with a 28-4 overall record and a 15-3 conference record, making them one of the most dominant teams in the Atlantic 10 this season. Saint Louis advanced to this round after recently winning over George Washington 88-81 in the quarterfinal. The Billikens have recently won over George Washington, Loyola Chicago, and Duquesne while recently losing to George Mason and Dayton.
Saint Louis has been one of the most efficient offenses in the conference this season, averaging 87.8 points per game while allowing 69.5 points per game. The Billikens shoot 51% from the field and average 40.2 rebounds and 18.4 assists per game, demonstrating excellent ball movement and scoring efficiency. Defensively they contribute 3.5 blocks and 7.3 steals per game, giving them the ability to disrupt opposing offenses.
In their quarterfinal victory over George Washington, Saint Louis relied heavily on Robbie Avila, who led the team with 22 points while shooting efficiently from the field. On the glass, Dion Brown led the Billikens with seven rebounds, helping Saint Louis maintain a rebounding presence despite George Washington’s strong effort on the boards. The Billikens also showed excellent composure at the free throw line, converting 24 of 26 attempts.
Dayton vs Saint Louis Pick
Dayton vs Saint Louis Spread Pick
- Pick: Saint Louis -5.5
Saint Louis enters this matchup with the more explosive offense and one of the most efficient shooting teams in the conference. While Dayton has played well recently and already beat Saint Louis earlier this season, the Billikens’ ability to score efficiently and move the ball should allow them to create better offensive opportunities. With their offensive balance and rebounding advantage, Saint Louis should be able to cover the spread.
Dayton vs Saint Louis Total Pick
- Pick: Over 148.5
I like the over in this matchup because Saint Louis plays at a fast offensive pace and averages nearly 88 points per game. Dayton’s offense has also been productive recently, particularly with strong free throw shooting and efficient scoring from their guards. With two teams capable of scoring in the mid-to-high 70s, I expect this game to push past the total.
Final Score Prediction: Saint Louis 80, Dayton 74
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