Elon Phoenix vs William & Mary Tribe Picks and Predictions for Saturday March 7 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/07/2026, 03:25 AM ET
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The Elon Phoenix take on the William & Mary Tribe in the CAA Championship Second Round on Saturday, March 7, 2026, at CareFirst Arena in Washington, D.C. Tip-off for this conference tournament matchup is scheduled for 8:30 PM and the game will be broadcast on FloSports. At the time of this writing the odds were not released for the moneyline, total, or spread. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more expert predictions and analysis on today’s college basketball games.

Elon Phoenix Looking to Break Losing Streak

The Elon Phoenix enter the CAA tournament with a 14-17 overall record and finished conference play with a 6-12 mark in the CAA. Elon comes into this game struggling, as they have lost four straight games. They recently lost to UNC Wilmington 76-57, Monmouth 73-57, Towson 58-56, and North Carolina A&T 102-82. Their most recent win came when they won over William & Mary 81-78.

Offensively, Elon averages 78.6 points per game while allowing 78.1 points per contest. The Phoenix shoot 45% from the field and average 35.5 rebounds per game along with 15.0 assists per contest. They also contribute defensively with 2.9 blocks and 6.9 steals per game.

One of Elon’s strengths has been their ability to move the basketball. Averaging 15 assists per game shows the Phoenix offense can create good scoring opportunities when they are executing well. However, their defense has struggled at times, allowing over 78 points per game which has led to several high-scoring losses.

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William & Mary Bringing Offensive Momentum

The William & Mary Tribe enter the tournament with a 19-11 overall record and a 10-8 record in CAA play. The Tribe have been playing strong basketball recently, winning three straight games. They recently won over Hampton 94-85, North Carolina A&T 91-88, and Northeastern 84-77. Prior to that they suffered a narrow 84-83 loss to Campbell and also lost to Elon 81-78.

William & Mary averages an impressive 84.2 points per game while allowing 77.8 points per contest. The Tribe shoot 49% from the field and average 35.1 rebounds per game. Their offense also distributes the ball extremely well with 18.3 assists per contest.

A major strength for William & Mary has been their efficient offense. Shooting 49% from the field and averaging more than 18 assists per game shows their ability to create high-quality shots. They also generate defensive pressure with 8.0 steals per game, which can lead to easy scoring opportunities in transition.

Elon Phoenix vs William & Mary Tribe Pick

Elon Phoenix vs William & Mary Tribe Pick

  • Pick: William & Mary Tribe Spread

William & Mary enters this matchup with much stronger momentum after winning three straight games while Elon has dropped four in a row. The Tribe also hold the offensive advantage, averaging more than five points per game more than Elon while shooting a higher percentage from the field. With their balanced scoring and efficient offense, William & Mary should be able to control the tempo of this game.

Elon Phoenix vs William & Mary Tribe Total Pick

  • Pick: Over

I expect this game to feature plenty of scoring. William & Mary averages over 84 points per game and plays a fast offensive style, while Elon averages nearly 79 points per contest. Both teams also allow close to 78 points per game defensively, which suggests this matchup could turn into a high-scoring tournament game.

Final Score Prediction: William & Mary Tribe 88, Elon Phoenix 79

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