Evansville Purple Aces vs Murray State Racers Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 21

By: David Anicetti Published 02/21/2026, 02:30 AM ET
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Evansville visits Murray State on Saturday in Missouri Valley Conference play. Evansville is 6-21 overall and 2-14 in the MVC after an 84-46 loss to UIC. Murray State is 19-10 overall and 11-7 in conference play following a 78-61 loss at Illinois State. The Purple Aces have dropped four of their last five games, while the Racers have split their last five. Murray State remains in the thick of the MVC race, while Evansville sits at the bottom of the standings. Stay locked in with ourΒ  free college basketball picks.

Game Information

  • Date: Saturday, February 21
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • Location: CFSB Center, Murray, KY
  • TV: ESPN+

Evansville Purple Aces Preview

Evansville averages 66.6 points per game while allowing 75.3 and shooting 43% from the field. AJ Casey leads the team with 11.7 points per game, and Connor Turnbull is the second leading scorer at 11.5 points per game. The Purple Aces average 31.7 rebounds and 13.1 assists per game, but struggle defensively and on the glass against stronger opponents. This matchup on the road will test Evansville on the defensive end of the court, due to the strength Murray State has when in possession.

Injury Report: Connor Turnbull is questionable.

Key Stats – Per GameΒ 

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  • Points: 66.6
  • Points Allowed: 75.3
  • Rebounds: 31.7
  • Assists: 13.1
  • Steals: 5.6
  • Blocks: 3.4
  • Turnovers: 13.2

Murray State Racers Preview

Murray State averages 83.5 points per game and allows an average of 79.4. The Racers are shooting 47% from the field. Javon Jackson leads the team with 16.3 points per game, and Roman Domon is the second leading scorer at 13.8 points per game. The Racers average 36.8 rebounds and 13.7 assists per game and play at a much faster offensive pace than Evansville. Murray State’s defense is its weak link, but its offense is strong enough against most opponents to offset that.

Injury Report: Murray State does not report any injuries.

Key Stats – Per GameΒ 

  • Points: 83.5
  • Points Allowed: 79.4
  • Rebounds: 36.8
  • Assists: 13.7
  • Steals: 5.9
  • Blocks: 4.1
  • Turnovers: 12.1

Evansville Purple Aces vs Murray State Racers Prediction

Evansville has struggled to defend consistently, allowing over 75 points per game, and was held to just 46 points in its most recent outing. Murray State’s offensive firepower, led by Javon Jackson and Roman Domon, will create matchup problems against a defense that has not held up in conference play. The Racers average nearly 17 more points per game than Evansville and hold a clear advantage playing at home. Expect Murray State to control the tempo and pull away in the second half. Final Score Prediction: Murray State Racers win and cover ATS, 89-68.

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