Florida Gators at Georgia Bulldogs, Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, February 11, 2026
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The Florida Gators (17-6, 8-2 SEC) travel to Athens, GA to face the Georgia Bulldogs (16-6, 4-5 SEC) on Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at Stegeman Coliseum. Get in on the action with our free NCAAB picks.
Florida Gators Analysis
Florida has developed one of the league’s most efficient and disciplined profiles this season, with balanced scoring, tough defense, and elite rebounding beating down opponents. The Gators have averaged roughly 86.3 points per game while allowing about 71.2 points per contest.
Team Overview and Metrics
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PPG: 86.3
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FG%: 46.9%
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3P%: 28.8%
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Rebounds: 40.6 RPG
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Assists: 16.4 APG
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Points Allowed: 71.2
Strengths
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Thomas Haugh (F): Leads the SEC in scoring (17.8 PPG in league play) and has carried Florida with multiple 20+ point performances.
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Rebounding and interior play: Rueben Chinyelu leads the conference in rebounding (11.5 RPG) and double-doubles (14), anchoring Florida’s physical interior presence.
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Balanced offense: Multiple players contribute, and Florida’s assist rate reflects efficient ball movement.
Weaknesses
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Perimeter shooting: Below-average three-point accuracy limits spacing and can stall bursts.
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Turnovers: A comparatively modest assist-to-turnover ratio can create easy transition points for opponents.
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Road environment: Stegeman Coliseum has historically been a tough place for visitors.
Georgia Bulldogs Analysis
Georgia enters this game looking to bounce back after a narrow road win over LSU that ended a losing skid. The Bulldogs are known for their pace and interior activity, ranking among the nation’s leaders in fast-break points and playing one of the quickest tempos in college basketball. Their offense has been dynamic at times but has also shown inconsistency in SEC play.
Team Overview and Metrics
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PPG: 91.9
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FG%: 47.0%
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3P%: 32.0%
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Rebounds: 40.6 RPG
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Assists: 14.8 APG
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Points Allowed: 77.6
Strengths
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Pace and transition scoring: Georgia ranks near the top nationally in fast-break points and tempo, pressuring defenses early.
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Balanced depth: Multiple Bulldogs score in double figures, with Jeremiah Wilkinson (17.1 PPG) and Blue Cain (13.2 PPG) among the leaders.
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Interior athleticism: Georgia’s dunk rates and shot creation around the rim give it a physical edge at times.
Weaknesses
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Defensive lapses: The Bulldogs often allow opponents to operate efficiently inside the arc.
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Turnovers vs structured offenses: Against disciplined teams, Georgia’s pace can lead to rushed possessions.
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Inconsistency: A 4-5 SEC mark reflects uneven results in league play.
Standout Players and Key Matchups
Florida
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Thomas Haugh (F): Primary scoring engine and SEC impact player.
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Rueben Chinyelu (C): Rebounding force and interior anchor.
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Urban Klavzar (G): Sharp floor spacing and three-point shooting upside.
Georgia
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Jeremiah Wilkinson (G): Leading scorer who must penetrate efficiently.
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Blue Cain (G/F): Secondary perimeter threat with impact scoring.
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Kanon Catchings (F): Midseason breakout scorer key to Georgia’s depth.
Florida vs Georgia Prediction Reasoning
This SEC battle is poised to be fast, physical, and high-scoring. Florida’s efficiency on offense and strength on the glass give it a slight edge, especially when controlling pace and limiting turnovers.
If Florida slows Georgia’s transition game and executes in the half court, it should find separation in the second half.
Final Score Projection: Florida 88, Georgia 81
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Best Picks
- Georgia +7.5
- Over 166.5 total points
