Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, February 25, 2026

By: Jake Allman Published 02/25/2026, 01:00 AM ET
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No. 7 Florida heads to Austin for a key SEC matchup against Texas at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN2. Florida sits at 21-6 overall and 12-2 in conference play, riding a five-game winning streak. Texas enters 17-10 overall and 8-6 in the SEC, looking to bounce back after a 91-80 road loss at Georgia. Slam dunk your bets with our College Basketball picks.

Florida Preview

Florida has been dominant on both ends during this surge. The Gators average 86.4 points per game while allowing just 71.2, a plus-15.2 scoring margin. Todd Goldenโ€™s group shoots 47 percent from the field, grabs 45.8 rebounds per game, and dishes out 16.6 assists. Thomas Haugh leads Florida with 17.3 points per game on 46.8 percent shooting, while Alex Condon is coming off a 24-point effort in the 94-75 win over Ole Miss. Over the last five games, Florida has scored at least 86 points in four contests and won each by double digits.

Texas Preview

Texas presents a different profile, especially at Moody Center, where the Longhorns are 12-3. Rodney Terryโ€™s team averages 85.1 points per game and shoots an efficient 50 percent from the floor. Dailyn Swain leads Texas with 17.9 points and 7.3 rebounds per game, shooting 57.2 percent overall. Texas averages 38.3 rebounds and 12.6 assists, showing a more isolation-based attack compared to Floridaโ€™s ball movement. The Longhorns have won four of the last five, including an 88-85 victory over LSU, but the loss at Georgia exposed issues on the defensive end after allowing 91 points.

Texas vs Florida Prediction

The key matchup is Floridaโ€™s depth and rebounding against Texasโ€™ shooting. Florida allows just 6.7 made threes per game and holds opponents to 71.2 points, while Texas gives up 75.4 per contest. If Florida controls the glass and keeps Swain from living in the paint, the Gators can dictate pace. Texas must capitalize on home shooting and limit turnovers to stay within reach.

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Florida deserves to be favored given its current form and overall balance. The Gators are 18-0 in games decided by 10 or more points, showing an ability to build leads and hold them.

Prediction: Florida 84, Texas 78

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Best Picks

  • Florida -4.5
  • Over 158.5
  • Thomas Haugh Over 16.5 Points
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