Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement

By: David Anicetti Published 01/20/2026, 01:10 AM ET
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The Florida State Seminoles visit Coral Gables to take on the Miami Hurricanes on Tuesday night in an Atlantic Coast Conference matchup. Florida State is 7-11 overall and 0-5 in conference play, sitting alone in last place in the ACC, and is coming off a narrow 69-68 home loss to Wake Forest. Miami enters at 15-3 overall and 4-1 in ACC action, tied for second place in the conference standings, after a 69-59 road loss at Clemson. Stay sharp at the window with our free college basketball picks.

Florida State vs Miami Game Information

  • Date: Tuesday, January 20
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Location: Watsco Center, Coral Gables, FL
  • TV: ESPNU

Florida State Seminoles Preview

Florida State has struggled to find consistency, allowing 81.3 points per game while surrendering extended scoring runs in recent losses. Robert McCray V leads the Seminoles with an average of 13.6 points and 6.5 assists per game, and his ball distribution is critical for an offense that averages 82.3 points but commits frequent mistakes. Chauncey Wiggins and Lajae Jones provide additional scoring options, though the Seminoles often fall behind when perimeter shots are not falling.

On the defensive end, Florida State averages 8.7 steals per game, led by Martin Somerville, who applies steady pressure on opposing guards. Alex Steen anchors the interior with 5.8 rebounds per game, while Jones leads the team in blocked shots at 1.2 per game. Florida State has been competitive late in games but has struggled to close out tight contests. Injuries: Florida State does not have any players on its injury report.

Key Stats Per Game

  • Points: 82.3
  • Points Allowed: 81.3
  • Rebounds: 37.0
  • Assists: 14.9
  • Steals: 8.7
  • Blocks: 3.6
  • Turnovers: 12.7

Miami Hurricanes Preview

Miami has been one of the more balanced teams in the ACC, averaging 86.2 points per game while shooting 51% from the field. Malik Reneau leads the Hurricanes with an average of 19.8 points per game and has been difficult to contain in half-court sets. Tre Donaldson averages 6.5 assists per game and keeps Miamiโ€™s offense organized, allowing multiple scoring threats to stay involved throughout the game.

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Defensively, Miami allows just 69.2 points per game and uses a pressure defense to generate 8.6 steals per contest, led by Tru Washington. Ernest Udeh Jr. controls the paint with 10.4 rebounds per game and leads the team in blocked shots at 1.3 per game, giving Miami a strong presence inside. Miami has won four of its last five games by limiting second-chance opportunities. Injuries: Salih Altuntas (Questionable).

Key Stats Per Game

  • Points: 86.2
  • Points Allowed: 69.2
  • Rebounds: 39.1
  • Assists: 17.7
  • Steals: 8.6
  • Blocks: 3.2
  • Turnovers: 11.5

Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes Prediction

Miami holds clear advantages on both ends of the floor, particularly in defensive play and in shot selection. Florida State can score in stretches, but Miamiโ€™s ability to control tempo and limit turnovers will allow the Hurricanes to open a big lead after halftime. Final Score Prediction: Miami Hurricanes win and cover ATS, 87-71.

Best Picks

  • Miami Hurricanes
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