George Washington Revolutionaries vs New Mexico Lobos Picks and Predictions for Sunday March 22 2026
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The George Washington Revolutionaries and New Mexico Lobos meet in the NIT – 2nd Round at The Pit in Albuquerque, New Mexico, on Sunday, March 22, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET, with the game airing on ESPN+. New Mexico enters this matchup as a 7.5-point favorite with the total set at 161.5. This matchup features two teams that can score at a high level, but the difference could come down to home-court advantage and efficiency. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more expert insights on today’s action.
George Washington Revolutionaries: Fighting Through Close Games
George Washington comes into this matchup with a 19-15 overall record and a 9-11 mark in A-10 play, along with a 4-7 road record. In NIT action, the Revolutionaries advanced with a narrow 79-78 win over Utah Valley. Looking at recent form, George Washington has recently won over Utah Valley, recently lost to Saint Louis, recently won over Fordham, recently lost to Loyola Chicago, and recently won over St. Bonaventure. This stretch highlights a team that has been competitive in tight games but has struggled to maintain consistency, especially away from home.
From a statistical standpoint, George Washington averages 82.0 points per game while allowing 73.9, reflecting a team that leans toward offense but can be inconsistent defensively. They shoot 47% from the field and average 37.6 rebounds and 15.8 assists per game. Defensively, they contribute 7.5 steals and 3.5 blocks per contest. Their ability to score efficiently is a strength, but defensive lapses have been an issue throughout the season.
In their first-round victory, George Washington relied heavily on a standout performance from Rafael Castro, who led the team with 22 points and also grabbed 11 rebounds, leading in both categories. The Revolutionaries shot 49% from the field and 44% from three-point range, showing strong offensive efficiency. However, they committed 17 turnovers, which nearly cost them the game. Their ability to limit mistakes and handle pressure will be critical in this matchup, especially against a New Mexico team that thrives on forcing turnovers and playing fast.
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New Mexico Lobos: Dominant at Home with Offensive Firepower
New Mexico enters this contest with a 24-10 overall record and an impressive 15-3 mark at home, where they have been particularly dominant. In NIT action, the Lobos advanced with a convincing 107-83 win over Sam Houston State. Over their last five games, New Mexico has recently won over Sam Houston State, recently lost to San Diego State, recently won over San Jose State, recently lost to Utah State, and recently lost to Colorado State. Despite a few losses, their offensive ceiling remains one of the highest in the field.
Statistically, New Mexico averages 81.3 points per game while allowing 71.2, showing a balanced approach on both ends of the floor. They shoot 46% from the field and average 36.6 rebounds and 15.1 assists per game. Defensively, they contribute 8.0 steals and 2.9 blocks per contest, highlighting their ability to create turnovers and disrupt opposing offenses. Their combination of scoring and defensive pressure makes them particularly dangerous at home.
In their opening-round win, New Mexico displayed efficiency and depth. Tomislav Buljan led the team with 22 points and also pulled down 10 rebounds, leading in both scoring and rebounding. The Lobos shot 53% from the field and 38% from three-point range while committing just five turnovers, an impressive mark in tournament play. Their ability to take care of the basketball while maintaining offensive efficiency is a major advantage, especially against a George Washington team that struggled with turnovers in its first-round game.
George Washington Revolutionaries vs New Mexico Lobos Pick
George Washington Revolutionaries vs New Mexico Lobos Spread Pick
- Pick: New Mexico -7.5
New Mexico’s home-court advantage and offensive efficiency make them the stronger team in this matchup. While George Washington has shown the ability to compete and score, their turnover issues and defensive inconsistencies are major concerns, especially on the road. The Lobos’ ability to control tempo and capitalize on mistakes should allow them to build a lead and maintain it. I expect New Mexico to cover the spread in this game.
George Washington Revolutionaries vs New Mexico Lobos Total Pick
- Pick: Over 161.5
I like the over in this matchup because both teams have shown they can score efficiently and play at a faster pace. New Mexico’s offensive style should push the tempo, while George Washington has enough scoring ability to contribute. With both teams capable of putting up points, this total feels achievable.
Final Score Prediction: New Mexico 88, George Washington 78
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