Georgia Southern Eagles vs South Alabama Jaguars Picks and Predictions for Friday March 6 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/06/2026, 02:45 AM ET
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The Georgia Southern Eagles and South Alabama Jaguars meet in the Sun Belt Championship โ€“ 4th Round on Friday, March 6, 2026 at Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, Florida. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 PM ET, and the game will be televised on ESPN+. Georgia Southern enters the matchup after winning multiple games to advance through the earlier rounds of the tournament, while South Alabama earned a bye into this round thanks to its regular season conference finish. At the time of this writing, the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more expert analysis and daily betting predictions.

Georgia Southern Riding Tournament Momentum

The Georgia Southern Eagles enter this matchup with an 18-15 overall record and an 8-10 Sun Belt conference record. The Eagles advanced through the Sun Belt Championship with wins in earlier rounds, including an 80-77 victory over Arkansas State in the third round. Over their last five games, Georgia Southern has recently won over Arkansas State, Old Dominion, and Marshall while recently losing to James Madison and Appalachian State.

Georgia Southern averages 80.7 points per game while allowing 79.9 points per contest, making them one of the higher-scoring teams in the conference. The Eagles shoot 43% from the field and average 34.7 rebounds per game, while distributing 11.0 assists per contest. Defensively, they contribute 3.7 blocks and 8.1 steals per game, numbers that reflect an aggressive defensive approach and a team that thrives when generating turnovers.

In the win over Arkansas State, Tyren Moore led the Eagles with 25 points, shooting 9-of-19 from the field and delivering several key baskets during critical moments. Alden Applewhite led the team with 6 rebounds, helping Georgia Southern remain competitive on the glass despite being out-rebounded overall. With the short turnaround in tournament play, Georgia Southern will rely on Mooreโ€™s scoring and improved defensive intensity to compete with a rested South Alabama squad.

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South Alabama Jaguars Enter Rested After Bye

The South Alabama Jaguars come into the Sun Belt Championship โ€“ 4th Round with a 21-10 overall record and an 11-7 conference record, earning a bye into this round of the tournament. In recent action, the Jaguars have recently lost to Southern Miss while recently winning over Louisiana-Monroe and Troy and recently losing to Texas State and Marshall.

South Alabama averages 74.3 points per game while allowing just 69.0 points per contest, reflecting a balanced team that relies heavily on defensive discipline. The Jaguars shoot 47% from the field and average 35.5 rebounds per game, while recording 11.7 assists per contest. Defensively, South Alabama generates 8.1 steals and 2.3 blocks per game, using pressure and physical defense to disrupt opposing offenses.

In their most recent game against Southern Miss, Chaze Harris led the Jaguars with 23 points and also pulled down 9 rebounds, showcasing his ability to impact both scoring and rebounding. Despite Harrisโ€™ strong performance, South Alabama struggled offensively overall, shooting just 33% from the field. With additional rest from the bye, the Jaguars will look to improve their shooting efficiency and lean on their defensive structure to slow Georgia Southernโ€™s high-scoring offense.

Georgia Southern Eagles vs South Alabama Jaguars Pick

Georgia Southern Eagles vs South Alabama Jaguars Spread Pick

  • Pick: South Alabama Jaguars Moneyline

South Alabama enters this matchup with the advantage of rest and one of the better defenses in the Sun Belt. The Jaguars allow just 69 points per game and have the defensive discipline to slow down Georgia Southernโ€™s fast-paced offense. While the Eagles bring momentum from consecutive tournament wins, the short turnaround could be a factor against a rested South Alabama team led by Chaze Harris.

Georgia Southern Eagles vs South Alabama Jaguars Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 150.5

I like the over in this matchup because Georgia Southern consistently plays at a fast pace and averages more than 80 points per game. Even though South Alabama is typically more defensive-minded, the Eaglesโ€™ tempo tends to pull opponents into higher-scoring games. With both teams capable of generating offense and tournament games often producing late free throws, I expect the total to climb over the number.

Final Score Prediction: South Alabama Jaguars 82, Georgia Southern Eagles 76

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