Georgia Southern Eagles vs Troy Trojans Picks and Predictions for Monday March 9 2026
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The Georgia Southern Eagles and Troy Trojans meet in the Sun Belt Championship - Final on Monday, March 9, 2026 at Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, Florida. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET, and the game will be televised on ESPN2. At the time of this writing, the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily college basketball betting insights.
Georgia Southern’s Tournament Run Continues into the Final
Georgia Southern enters the championship game with a 21-15 overall record and an 8-10 mark in Sun Belt play. The Eagles have made an impressive run through the tournament, defeating Old Dominion, Arkansas State, South Alabama, Coastal Carolina, and Marshall to reach the final. In their last five games, Georgia Southern has recently won over Marshall, Coastal Carolina, South Alabama, Arkansas State, and Old Dominion, bringing a five-game winning streak into this matchup.
The Eagles have been one of the higher-scoring teams in the conference this season. Georgia Southern averages 81.5 points per game while allowing 79.8 points per contest. The Eagles shoot 44% from the field and average 34.3 rebounds with 11.3 assists per game. Defensively, Georgia Southern contributes 3.6 blocks and 8.1 steals per game, which helps generate turnovers and create additional scoring opportunities.
A key tournament storyline for Georgia Southern is the short turnaround after playing multiple games in consecutive days. In the 82-78 semifinal win over Marshall, Spudd Webb led the Eagles with 31 points, while Andres Burney controlled the glass with 11 rebounds. Georgia Southern also dominated the boards 43-35 and converted 79% of its free throws, showing resilience in a tight semifinal contest. If the Eagles can maintain that rebounding edge and continue getting strong scoring performances, they will be a dangerous opponent in the championship.
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Troy Looks to Cap Its Season with a Title
Troy enters the championship game with a 21-11 overall record and a 12-6 record in Sun Belt play. The Trojans advanced to the final with a 78-70 win over Southern Miss in the semifinal. In their last five games, Troy has recently won over Southern Miss, ULM, Louisiana, and ULM, while recently losing to South Alabama.
The Trojans have been strong on both ends of the floor this season. Troy averages 80.5 points per game while allowing 73.5 points per contest. The team shoots 45% from the field and averages 38.4 rebounds along with 16.1 assists per game, showing a balanced offensive approach with good ball movement. Defensively, Troy records 3.4 blocks and 8.0 steals per game, which helps create transition opportunities.
The key tournament-specific angle for Troy is how it handled the pressure in the semifinal victory. In the 78-70 win over Southern Miss, Jerrell Bellamy led the Trojans with 22 points, while Thomas Dowd grabbed 8 rebounds. Troy shot 44% from the field and went an impressive 31-for-38 at the free throw line, finishing with 82% from the stripe. That ability to convert free throws in a physical game could be crucial in another tight championship matchup.
Georgia Southern Eagles vs Troy Trojans Pick
Georgia Southern Eagles vs Troy Trojans Spread Pick
- Pick: Troy Trojans moneyline
Troy looks like the slightly stronger side heading into this championship matchup because of its overall balance and defensive numbers. The Trojans allow 73.5 points per game, which is significantly lower than Georgia Southern’s 79.8 points allowed, and Troy also has the rebounding advantage statistically. While Georgia Southern has been impressive during its tournament run, the Eagles are also playing their fifth game in five days, which could become a factor late in the championship.
Georgia Southern Eagles vs Troy Trojans Total Pick
- Pick: Over
I like the over in this matchup because both teams have been strong offensively throughout the season. Georgia Southern averages 81.5 points per game, while Troy averages 80.5 points per contest, and both teams showed the ability to score efficiently in their semifinal victories. With the championship on the line and both teams comfortable playing at a faster pace, this game has the potential to turn into a high-scoring battle.
Final Score Prediction: Troy Trojans 84, Georgia Southern Eagles 79
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