Grand Canyon Lopes at Boise State Broncos, Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, January 7, 2025
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The Grand Canyon Lopes (8-5, 1-2 MWC) travel to Boise, Idaho, to take on the Boise State Broncos (9-5, 1-2 MWC) on Tuesday, January 7, 2025 at ExtraMile Arena. Get in on the action with our free NCAAB picks.
Grand Canyon Lopes Analysis
Grand Canyon has shown balanced scoring and respectable efficiency this season, generating offense through ball movement and a trio of reliable contributors. The Lopes average 75.5 points per game while shooting 44.4% from the field, and their turnover and assist numbers reflect disciplined play.
Team Overview and Metrics
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PPG: 75.5
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FG%: .444
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3P%: .302
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Rebounding: 35.2 per game
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Assists: 13.4 per game
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Steals: 6.5 per game
Strengths
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Efficient scoring: The Lopes’ offense ranks near the top half of the Mountain West in field-goal percentage.
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Balanced attack: Multiple contributors prevent defenses from keying on one player.
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Discipline: Grand Canyon limits turnovers while generating transition chances.
Weaknesses
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Perimeter shooting: A 30.2% three-point clip limits spacing compared to league leaders.
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Road pressure: The Lopes have yet to establish a strong road identity in conference play.
Boise State Broncos Analysis
Boise State boasts one of the more efficient offenses in the conference and plays with a physical edge at home. The Broncos average about 78.1 points per game, shoot roughly 43.7% from the field, and make an above-average 8.4 threes per game — a margin that forces extended defensive rotations.
Team Overview and Metrics
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PPG: 78.1
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FG%: .437
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3P%: .336
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Rebounds: 35.1 per game
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Assists: 13.6 per game
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Steals: 4.9 per game
Strengths
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Balanced scoring: Boise State distributes offense among multiple scorers and shares the ball well.
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Home court edge: ExtraMile Arena has been a tough venue for Mountain West visitors.
Weaknesses
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Turnover margin: Boise State’s turnover rate still creates extra shot opportunities for opponents.
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Defense vs physical teams: Interior physicality has sometimes slowed their rhythm.
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Recent slide: The Broncos have been inconsistent, entering this matchup seeking a bounce-back performance.
Standout Players and Key Matchups
Grand Canyon
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Jaden Henley: Leads the Lopes with 17.3 points per game, showcasing efficiency inside and out.
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Nana Owusu-Anane: Contributes on the glass with around 9.0 rebounds per game and secondary scoring.
Boise State
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Drew Fielder: The Broncos’ leading scorer with about 13.6 points and 5.4 rebounds per game.
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Javan Buchanan: Providing complementary scoring (12.1 PPG) and versatility.
Grand Canyon vs Boise State Prediction Reasoning
This Mountain West clash favors Boise State due to its offensive versatility and home court. Grand Canyon’s balanced scoring keeps this competitive early, but Boise State’s ability to make threes at a high clip and shared offensive distribution creates separation. We like Grand Canyon to stay in the game and cover at the current number.
Final Score Projection: Boise State 81, Grand Canyon 73
Best Picks
- Grand Canyon +8.5
- Over 136.5 total points
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