Green Bay Phoenix vs Northern Kentucky Norse Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, February 4, 2026
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Green Bay travels to Highland Heights to face Northern Kentucky in a Horizon League matchup scheduled for 7:00 PM ET at Truist Arena on ESPN+. Northern Kentucky enters at 14-10 overall and 6-7 in conference play, while Green Bay sits at 12-12 and 7-6 in the Horizon. ESPN Analytics heavily favors the Norse, giving Northern Kentucky a 76.8 percent chance to win, which fits the home court advantage and the offensive gap between these teams. Slam dunk your bets with our College Basketball picks.
Green Bay Preview
Green Bay comes in after dropping four of the last five games, including losses to Wright State and Cleveland State. The Phoenix average 74.6 points per game while allowing 76.3, a narrow margin that leaves little room for error on the road. Marcus Hall leads the scoring at 13.8 points per game and also pulls down 5.4 rebounds, giving Green Bay a reliable frontcourt option. Preston Ruedinger runs the offense with 5.5 assists per game and shoots 44.5 percent from three, which is critical for a team that does not dominate the glass at 31.2 rebounds per game.
The challenge for Green Bay is matching Northern Kentucky’s tempo and ball pressure. The Phoenix average only 4.3 steals per game and struggle when forced into faster possessions. Recent road results have not been encouraging, and the offense has dipped under 75 points in four of the last five contests. Shooting efficiency has been decent at 48 percent from the field, but turnovers and rebounding deficits continue to hurt against deeper Horizon lineups.
Northern Kentucky Preview
Northern Kentucky has lost four of the last five games as well, but the underlying offensive numbers remain strong. The Norse score 83.5 points per game, nearly nine more than Green Bay, and rebound at a higher rate with 35.5 per contest. Donovan Oday is the engine of the offense, averaging 18.4 points on 50.4 percent shooting and 83.4 percent from the free throw line. LJ Wells adds 14.0 points and 7.6 rebounds, giving Northern Kentucky a consistent interior presence.
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Ball pressure is another edge for the Norse, who average 9.0 steals per game and force opponents into rushed decisions. Ethan Elliott contributes 4.5 assists per game and helps stabilize the backcourt when the pace increases. Northern Kentucky also benefits from playing at home, where the offense has been more efficient, and the scoring has been strong late in games.
Northern Kentucky vs Green Bay Prediction
The matchup points toward Northern Kentucky controlling tempo and wearing down Green Bay over 40 minutes. The Norse have more scoring options and a clear rebounding edge, which should translate into extra possessions. The best look here is Northern Kentucky to win at home, with the offense doing enough to separate in the second half. A projected final score is Northern Kentucky 82, Green Bay 72, making the Norse the preferred side in this Horizon League matchup.
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